TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Valencia vs. Monaco

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monacoof Valencia, Monaco
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,353 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed Valencia50c6,030$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0151060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Monaco50c5,600$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8001450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Monaco50c5,412$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,685.751145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4f…3e14backed Monaco49c4,467$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Valencia51c2,924$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.4314847.3%70 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Valencia39c2,637$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.1954251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Valencia41c2,087$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.1113548.9%66 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Valencia43c1,576$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.31643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Valencia40c1,533$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.7613235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Monaco45c1,112$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.3913650%68 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Monaco70c1,073$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.3814542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Monaco50c980.03$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.452387%20 W · 3 L+6.3wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+49.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Monaco73c956.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1212454%67 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Valencia30c809.67$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Valencia51c749.08$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.38453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70bc…4e16backed Monaco48c696.97$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+61.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Valencia54c654.02$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Monaco50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1154…0d31backed Monaco48c575.88$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.73450%17 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0623…4e38backed Monaco50c500.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Monaco47c499.98$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Valencia41c412.68$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16912041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Monaco77c352.9$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.751662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Valencia52c318.74$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.338037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Valencia56c309.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6911455.3%63 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Valencia33c304.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Valencia50c301.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Valencia50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Valencia32c237.67$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+67.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1bd…3a3bbacked Valencia55c230$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad9…6044backed Monaco45c230$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Valencia52c211.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Valencia53c210$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.31040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Monaco50c200.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.61070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde5…676cbacked Valencia51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b23…a0fdbacked Monaco52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.87650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Valencia55c195.85$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.463342.4%14 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-33.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Valencia52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Valencia54c186.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa89e…d221backed Valencia7c182.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.87633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Valencia52c177.77$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Valencia52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Monaco47c139.26$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.265630.4%17 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Monaco79c139.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5636939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Valencia44c134.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Valencia50c123.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.737052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Valencia63c122.43$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.782941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Valencia51c114.84$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.571643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Valencia51c111.34$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.353748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…1d18backed Valencia21c104.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Monaco46c101.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.388653.5%46 W · 40 L+10.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xae63…5e2dbacked Valencia52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Valencia52c95.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe21…2f9cbacked Monaco44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.42842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Valencia44c88.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.261050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valencia49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9418144.2%80 W · 101 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34da…ac26backed Valencia41c78.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55dc…7557backed Valencia53c75.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Valencia54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Monaco49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.434351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Valencia51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.79255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Valencia49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Valencia50c65.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.583542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Valencia49c63.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.793839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Valencia50c61.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Valencia48c55.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.834134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Valencia50c50.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1143543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Valencia50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Valencia49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d19…8b58backed Monaco47c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Monaco47c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Valencia49c46.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.933256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Valencia48c44.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.363348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Monaco47c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Valencia41c41.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.846446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Monaco65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.875664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Valencia52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208256.1%46 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda54…dcaabacked Monaco47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.145100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa09e…d061backed Valencia54c37.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Valencia60c37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.28644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Monaco47c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Valencia41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Valencia48c28.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.743627.8%10 W · 26 L-8.6wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Valencia45c28.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84e6…d1dcbacked Monaco54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.782365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b2…dd6dbacked Valencia54c27.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Valencia49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.238440.5%34 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Monaco48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Valencia58c22.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0731651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Monaco68c20.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6910050%50 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Valencia50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Monaco50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb3…2868backed Valencia50c19.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.