Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gaston
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96f03f1a8f5c78c63933d80dbba6057df41c788b0dc7f25091548d4202cdb75b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arnaldiof Arnaldi, Gaston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gaston | 30c | 10,140$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.11 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Gaston | 3c | 3,605$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Arnaldi | 65c | 3,544$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.26 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Arnaldi | 61c | 3,276$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arnaldi | 68c | 3,268$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.07 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Gaston | 47c | 3,207$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.55 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Gaston | 47c | 3,027$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.37 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arnaldi | 65c | 2,012$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.82 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Arnaldi | 63c | 1,744$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.15 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Gaston | 35c | 1,701$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Gaston | 3c | 1,600$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gaston | 34c | 1,574$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.19 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Gaston | 3c | 1,493$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arnaldi | 50c | 1,390$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.32 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Gaston | 35c | 1,375$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Arnaldi | 73c | 1,357$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Gaston | 35c | 1,300$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.76 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Arnaldi | 71c | 1,190$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.1 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Arnaldi | 73c | 1,166$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.67 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Gaston | 16c | 1,147$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.11 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Gaston | 18c | 1,144$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.19 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Gaston | 64c | 855.23$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.32 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Arnaldi | 68c | 822.11$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.13 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Arnaldi | 77c | 802.1$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.65 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Arnaldi | 64c | 664.21$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.27 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Gaston | 47c | 604.08$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Gaston | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gaston | 36c | 517.86$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Arnaldi | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Arnaldi | 60c | 497.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…e648backed Arnaldi | 56c | 468.18$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Gaston | 34c | 462.63$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Gaston | 61c | 433.74$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.07 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Arnaldi | 76c | 411.88$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Gaston | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Gaston | 46c | 386.95$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.95 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Arnaldi | 57c | 368.77$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Arnaldi | 60c | 333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Gaston | 46c | 327.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Arnaldi | 66c | 303.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1b…7f3cbacked Gaston | 32c | 291.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Arnaldi | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Arnaldi | 61c | 256.41$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Arnaldi | 66c | 226.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Gaston | 39c | 213.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Gaston | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Gaston | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gaston | 37c | 177.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…fe70backed Gaston | 36c | 172.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Gaston | 65c | 154.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Gaston | 35c | 153.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…de18backed Gaston | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Gaston | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Arnaldi | 67c | 149.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Arnaldi | 77c | 147.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fe…1c85backed Arnaldi | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Gaston | 37c | 135.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Arnaldi | 61c | 135.55$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Gaston | 28c | 134.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x977d…9a58backed Gaston | 15c | 131.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Gaston | 26c | 114.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Arnaldi | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Arnaldi | 78c | 102.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…1b90backed Arnaldi | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Gaston | 21c | 98.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…d7a3backed Arnaldi | 75c | 92.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Gaston | 30c | 90.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Gaston | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Gaston | 15c | 79.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Gaston | 22c | 74.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Gaston | 55c | 72.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…7066backed Gaston | 26c | 66.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Arnaldi | 59c | 65.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…325ebacked Arnaldi | 55c | 63.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Arnaldi | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…7557backed Arnaldi | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed Arnaldi | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Arnaldi | 46c | 59.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Arnaldi | 60c | 58.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Arnaldi | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…d6d3backed Gaston | 20c | 53.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Gaston | 35c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gaston | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Gaston | 31c | 49.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Gaston | 27c | 48.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…4e8dbacked Gaston | 28c | 43.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…68d5backed Gaston | 27c | 40.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…491cbacked Gaston | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Gaston | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…d8adbacked Arnaldi | 52c | 29.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…0f8abacked Arnaldi | 60c | 26.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c23…599fbacked Arnaldi | 75c | 22.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed Arnaldi | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Gaston | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gastonthis page
- Arnaldi vs. Gaston: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.