TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bejlekof Bejlek, Alexandrova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Bejlek51c25,873$13,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,628.5411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Alexandrova46c18,732$8,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,603.5319134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Alexandrova48c11,810$5,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,675.191,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bejlek55c8,518$4,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,851.852,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Bejlek32c8,000$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,414.6845036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Bejlek50c6,295$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.214055%22 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Alexandrova39c6,275$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.581,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Bejlek57c6,206$3,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.457939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Alexandrova65c5,394$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alexandrova53c4,881$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,567.213,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Alexandrova23c3,642$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.458040%32 W · 48 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Alexandrova54c3,500$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89544360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Alexandrova51c3,497$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.644461.4%27 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Alexandrova58c3,475$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007630.3%23 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Alexandrova62c3,276$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.5531647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bejlek45c3,206$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.172,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Bejlek48c3,206$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.5224438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Alexandrova49c3,148$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.129541.1%39 W · 56 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Alexandrova68c3,010$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.88825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Alexandrova70c2,860$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99928039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alexandrova46c2,826$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.716,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bejlek46c2,720$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.044,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alexandrova46c2,614$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.992,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Alexandrova56c2,436$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.4365647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Alexandrova19c2,394$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.2919846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Alexandrova1c2,335$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Alexandrova73c2,307$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.0762061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Bejlek32c2,286$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.6510650%53 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Bejlek48c1,940$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.2230645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Bejlek41c1,763$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.642,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Bejlek38c1,627$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.738652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bejlek51c1,557$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.718,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Bejlek33c1,537$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.157249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Bejlek33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.1539431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Alexandrova52c1,391$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.531,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Alexandrova31c1,230$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37798240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Alexandrova22c1,192$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9844038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Alexandrova46c1,168$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.418551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Alexandrova69c1,050$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.245457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Alexandrova31c1,026$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.566831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Bejlek32c1,017$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.3514568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Bejlek32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a3…14f4backed Alexandrova40c993.79$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.164557.8%26 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Bejlek33c868.51$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.5154138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Alexandrova64c839.27$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53728754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb000…5ca6backed Bejlek43c807.49$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.4912150.4%61 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Alexandrova71c707.34$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Bejlek55c677.35$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.7111215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Alexandrova54c655.31$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.6886470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Bejlek51c645.84$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.4663247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Bejlek33c609.09$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.0955646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Alexandrova68c600$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40846649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbe…4d6abacked Bejlek33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4025735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alexandrova49c569.95$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.961,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Bejlek32c558$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.4423735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Alexandrova31c489.68$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.851933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa288…adbebacked Alexandrova38c440.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.113745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4c…2a53backed Alexandrova59c421.43$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.183737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Bejlek44c391.87$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.456,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Alexandrova27c370.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9917056.5%96 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Alexandrova59c357.03$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.651,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Bejlek53c316.53$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5449143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Alexandrova6c313.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8212735.4%45 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Bejlek32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2046732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Alexandrova24c281.16$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689833.7%33 W · 65 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Alexandrova23c259.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6130741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Bejlek39c256.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.281,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Alexandrova48c247.01$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.241,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Alexandrova50c239$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7569249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Alexandrova69c226.09$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Alexandrova69c217.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Bejlek43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11443042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Alexandrova45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Alexandrova46c200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.825542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1679…e5e1backed Alexandrova69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Alexandrova67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.458753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Alexandrova49c199.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9411454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Alexandrova69c190.28$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6165840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Bejlek33c181.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.826127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d9…1a16backed Alexandrova68c180$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.45560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+111.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45db…8f65backed Bejlek31c180$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.22343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Alexandrova47c177.15$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2627539.6%109 W · 166 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Alexandrova49c172.89$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.894143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea37…71d5backed Bejlek32c170$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bejlek61c159.07$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.788455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Bejlek32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.258547.1%40 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Bejlek33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5254348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Alexandrova54c146.29$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2716830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Alexandrova69c144.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Bejlek51c134.02$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.571070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+66.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Alexandrova47c130$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.744,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Bejlek37c121.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7488446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alexandrova50c110.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.257,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Alexandrova67c107.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.832,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Bejlek50c103.87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9827543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Alexandrova45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526833.6%90 W · 178 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed Alexandrova66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662065%13 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…f896backed Bejlek46c93.01$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Alexandrova51c92.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8547057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Alexandrova47c92.53$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4912154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.