Euroleague · resolved market
Panathinaikos vs. Olimpia Milano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3e08952e7874c86dd05878bd7decfacf9a423f977dd854e95f2522fe7491662
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olimpia Milanoof Panathinaikos, Olimpia Milano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Olimpia Milano | 52c | 3,713$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.64 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Olimpia Milano | 23c | 3,151$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.17 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Panathinaikos | 53c | 2,254$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.86 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Olimpia Milano | 57c | 1,774$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.73 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Olimpia Milano | 16c | 1,618$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panathinaikos | 77c | 1,587$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.92 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Panathinaikos | 25c | 1,506$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.45 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Olimpia Milano | 20c | 1,400$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.62 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Olimpia Milano | 77c | 1,167$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.98 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Panathinaikos | 79c | 1,140$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.6 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panathinaikos | 42c | 1,085$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.92 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Panathinaikos | 54c | 1,066$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Olimpia Milano | 75c | 972.58$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.23 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Panathinaikos | 28c | 945.5$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Panathinaikos | 46c | 829.19$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Olimpia Milano | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…b1f3backed Panathinaikos | 48c | 630$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Panathinaikos | 65c | 615.47$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.08 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Olimpia Milano | 46c | 455.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Panathinaikos | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Panathinaikos | 50c | 328.31$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.57 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Olimpia Milano | 20c | 314.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Panathinaikos | 54c | 310.35$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Olimpia Milano | 38c | 260.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.87 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Panathinaikos | 54c | 258.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Panathinaikos | 28c | 247.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Olimpia Milano | 45c | 222.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Panathinaikos | 50c | 217.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4545…771fbacked Olimpia Milano | 29c | 214.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Panathinaikos | 32c | 191$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Panathinaikos | 51c | 176.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Panathinaikos | 53c | 169.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Olimpia Milano | 39c | 168.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Panathinaikos | 50c | 156.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Olimpia Milano | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Panathinaikos | 43c | 149.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2e…1695backed Panathinaikos | 37c | 142.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Panathinaikos | 57c | 132.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Panathinaikos | 52c | 129.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Olimpia Milano | 21c | 126.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Panathinaikos | 42c | 125.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Olimpia Milano | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Olimpia Milano | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Panathinaikos | 80c | 107$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Panathinaikos | 52c | 103.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Olimpia Milano | 48c | 100.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Olimpia Milano | 23c | 99.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…7557backed Panathinaikos | 80c | 94.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Panathinaikos | 59c | 91.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Olimpia Milano | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Panathinaikos | 79c | 75.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Panathinaikos | 78c | 74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Olimpia Milano | 19c | 72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +135%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Olimpia Milano | 15c | 72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Panathinaikos | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Olimpia Milano | 19c | 60.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Olimpia Milano | 44c | 58.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Olimpia Milano | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Panathinaikos | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Panathinaikos | 55c | 44.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Panathinaikos | 70c | 43.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…76f2backed Panathinaikos | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Panathinaikos | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panathinaikos | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Olimpia Milano | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Panathinaikos | 80c | 21.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Panathinaikos | 77c | 15.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.