Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-01?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x100c74cb243120fe2f96a2f0ddffbdfe136d3244763e4d3a0be79098170343c3

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $165,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $166,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,125 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a0f…69b2backed No	62c	40,268$24,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,494.26	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+48%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	31c	15,134$4,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,749.47	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	19c	14,829$2,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,866.48	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No	58c	11,264$6,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,730.88	52	71.2%37 W · 15 L	+9.2wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes	42c	10,000$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,200	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	56c	8,784$4,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,849.97	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	59c	8,329$4,917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,411.3	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	57c	6,836$3,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,926.22	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes	44c	6,818$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes	41c	6,562$2,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,658.94	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No	57c	6,000$3,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,559.99	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	40c	5,402$2,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,133.83	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	40c	5,182$2,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,074.38	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes	44c	4,575$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…8ea7backed Yes	25c	3,600$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes	40c	3,450$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,380	192	39.1%75 W · 117 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No	58c	3,081$1,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,294.62	465	51.8%241 W · 224 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Yes	39c	2,980$1,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,177.13	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes	41c	2,606$1,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,074.91	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Yes	42c	2,600$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed Yes	8c	2,594$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.56	73	17.8%13 W · 60 L	-8.5wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes	40c	2,340$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.21	182	59.3%108 W · 74 L	+14.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+12%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	2c	2,233$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.33	270	24.8%67 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed No	61c	1,600$976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes	39c	1,600$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes	44c	1,591$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	531	34.5%183 W · 348 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes	44c	1,530$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	56c	1,525$854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.04	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No	60c	1,324$794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	111	62.2%69 W · 42 L	+10.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842e…d9f5backed Yes	39c	1,282$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	52cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Yes	43c	1,253$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.99	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb99f…f99fbacked Yes	44c	1,144$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.34	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes	44c	1,134$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.07	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	39c	1,090$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.62	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a8…2927backed Yes	43c	1,000$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes	44c	981.02$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.65	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf9…5c67backed Yes	43c	809.3$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	36cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	40c	762.5$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305	327	36.4%119 W · 208 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes	22c	736.25$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.9	115	33.9%39 W · 76 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes	43c	705.12$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.8	100	51%51 W · 49 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes	44c	700$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	149	43%64 W · 85 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes	44c	681.82$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79d…4350backed Yes	40c	625$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	23c	522.16$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.92	845	49%414 W · 431 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes	40c	501$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.4	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+3.3wins	+0.36per pick	52cpaid	+65.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed No	58c	500$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes	21c	482.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	129	35.7%46 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked Yes	34c	473.84$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	35cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes	42c	416$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.72	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes	39c	400$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No	71c	366.96$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.35	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	40c	362.4$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.06	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes	18c	350$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.3	170	17.6%30 W · 140 L	-27.5wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes	43c	348.84$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	152	57.2%87 W · 65 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	21c	300$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	328	22.3%73 W · 255 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ac…0871backed Yes	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No	59c	300$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes	40c	255.65$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.26	285	31.2%89 W · 196 L	-20.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf26f…0505backed Yes	42c	235.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-55%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d74…e6b2backed Yes	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes	44c	205.75$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	243	49%119 W · 124 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked No	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	440	36.8%162 W · 278 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes	31c	181.67$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Yes	43c	162.79$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	55cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes	40c	157.78$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.11	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Yes	33c	150$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No	60c	149.98$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.74	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes	42c	148$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.16	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes	43c	146.51$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Yes	42c	143.02$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	30%21 W · 49 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No	78c	140.33$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.9	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes	39c	112.24$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	390	52.6%205 W · 185 L	+19.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe37a…3478backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.35per pick	52cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-25%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Yes	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes	41c	97.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Yes	40c	87.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes	43c	86.05$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4738backed Yes	42c	80$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes	32c	78.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	102	42.2%43 W · 59 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No	57c	78$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.78	240	44.2%106 W · 134 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa686…8fccbacked Yes	40c	77.45$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.98	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes	40c	75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	210	43.8%92 W · 118 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes	39c	75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.25	368	45.7%168 W · 200 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Yes	40c	70$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes	44c	68.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes	42c	68.1$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked No	56c	64$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.16	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+13.0wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes	41c	60.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	297	35.4%105 W · 192 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdcd…b8e6backed Yes	44c	60$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Yes	27c	54.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	175	49.1%86 W · 89 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0277…0677backed Yes	44c	51$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.44	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+3.9wins	+0.21per pick	40cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc081…224dbacked Yes	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-01?this page
Will Hull City AFC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?No won
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-01?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-01?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event