TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,370 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No72c89,433$64,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,609.855352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes28c50,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,00024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes29c22,768$6,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,137.332,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked No69c21,753$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0008962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes34c8,417$2,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,587.442,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes28c6,723$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,840.835651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed No72c5,400$3,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8882751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes30c3,946$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,779.4918259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c3,122$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.914,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes48c2,966$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.496,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked No69c2,899$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No71c2,850$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0233063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes49c2,687$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.141,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes28c2,215$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.6372249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes27c2,128$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.7579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Yes32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3604953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed No23c1,962$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.677317.8%13 W · 60 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-66.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes29c1,651$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.0146651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Yes71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.451172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes29c1,300$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9237759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No26c1,102$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.598853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf9…5c67backed Yes58c1,073$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.33616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-71.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes75c1,033$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.0396645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7005127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes29c999$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.2916737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes60c987.87$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.161163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes29c788.46$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.151,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No14c700.28$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.041,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes27c700$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51123920.9%50 W · 189 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed No73c670$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No9c656.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4118139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes69c620$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2936462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b9…27d0backed Yes61c427.74$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.741154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3e…edc9backed Yes65c400.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.99366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3553…f8edbacked Yes61c395.19$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes75c357.44$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6718251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes31c340.31$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes30c312.78$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7358445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5712647.6%60 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No27c259.23$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9857744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes77c248.68$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.28662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c246$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1661,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Yes62c224.4$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.272259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No41c223.14$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.471,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed No42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8420840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked No68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13644036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d97…de9dbacked No14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2860%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No73c178.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0425256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.675141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked No38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No26c156.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1329041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8fb…7c45backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.524459.1%26 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.867170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe968…de6fbacked No72c141.18$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.651266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6072backed No71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes29c140.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10026229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6467…7cadbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x795f…1871backed Yes78c140.49$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No18c133.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2211712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7437…6e31backed Yes29c109.13$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.48955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed7…c984backed No31c104.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes29c90.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0110448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No72c87.41$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.949650%48 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471d…0c2abacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes29c82.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7610753.3%57 W · 50 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce6f…778fbacked Yes75c79.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.481258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed No47c76.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Yes30c74.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6113844.9%62 W · 76 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed No68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508759.8%52 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed No69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504961.2%30 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked No70c72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.49753.6%52 W · 45 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc97f…9cd2backed Yes72c69.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed No73c67.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.054862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked No32c66.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.424949%24 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Yes29c63.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.332458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe615…506fbacked No27c63.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.96714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes60c56.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.483348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.567753.2%41 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Yes28c53.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6217549.1%86 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf9…e86bbacked Yes28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.57540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a0…511ebacked Yes76c50.42$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.11241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3610569.5%73 W · 32 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192588%22 W · 3 L+6.2wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+45.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x04a4…e909backed Yes67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes32c48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6416445.7%75 W · 89 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes28c43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9611955.5%66 W · 53 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa98d…745ebacked No36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd4b…c2bcbacked Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+147.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x436f…5a00backed No41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.911946.2%55 W · 64 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.99455.3%52 W · 42 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No67c28.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc081…224dbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Yes80c26.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.251464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.