Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3078de2510cb742bbfd541b8a691ff68be727f902b93d493e06c5b574d4a209c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Vacherot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Vacherot | 9c | 30,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Shelton | 78c | 30,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.98 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Shelton | 76c | 17,539$13,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.55 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Vacherot | 22c | 11,947$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Vacherot | 24c | 10,997$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.2 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Vacherot | 5c | 9,999$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.52 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Vacherot | 21c | 8,769$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.43 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Vacherot | 22c | 7,236$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.59 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Vacherot | 21c | 6,141$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.9 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Vacherot | 24c | 5,511$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.09 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Vacherot | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Shelton | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vacherot | 24c | 3,989$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.74 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Shelton | 76c | 3,968$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.41 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vacherot | 19c | 3,572$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.02 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Vacherot | 20c | 3,538$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.67 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Vacherot | 23c | 3,533$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.59 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Vacherot | 10c | 3,400$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.26 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Vacherot | 13c | 3,280$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Vacherot | 21c | 3,030$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.53 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Vacherot | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Shelton | 80c | 2,955$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.34 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Vacherot | 10c | 2,897$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Shelton | 78c | 2,744$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.59 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Vacherot | 22c | 2,615$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.46 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Vacherot | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.5 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Shelton | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Vacherot | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Vacherot | 21c | 2,462$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Shelton | 78c | 2,191$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Vacherot | 19c | 2,175$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.21 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Vacherot | 5c | 2,070$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Shelton | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shelton | 78c | 1,902$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.49 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Shelton | 79c | 1,899$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.73 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Vacherot | 21c | 1,769$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Vacherot | 19c | 1,722$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.14 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Shelton | 78c | 1,700$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vacherot | 11c | 1,664$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.43 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Vacherot | 4c | 1,553$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Vacherot | 21c | 1,395$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.88 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…d4a9backed Shelton | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Vacherot | 21c | 1,262$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.72 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Shelton | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vacherot | 3c | 1,183$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Shelton | 79c | 1,150$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Vacherot | 21c | 1,122$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.29 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Vacherot | 21c | 1,061$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.82 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Shelton | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Vacherot | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Vacherot | 15c | 884.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Vacherot | 12c | 835.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Vacherot | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Vacherot | 21c | 766.67$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Vacherot | 25c | 720$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Shelton | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…980bbacked Shelton | 80c | 626.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.58 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…6a55backed Shelton | 79c | 561.22$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Shelton | 79c | 559.99$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Shelton | 71c | 554$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Vacherot | 29c | 554$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Vacherot | 23c | 551.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…8b6cbacked Vacherot | 7c | 549.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shelton | 79c | 530.14$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…60e2backed Vacherot | 15c | 525$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Shelton | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Vacherot | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Vacherot | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…cc0abacked Vacherot | 21c | 476$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a06…160abacked Vacherot | 22c | 455.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…7dcebacked Vacherot | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.25per pick | 33cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Vacherot | 22c | 450$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Shelton | 80c | 409.54$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Vacherot | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Shelton | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Shelton | 80c | 380.46$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Vacherot | 21c | 380$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Shelton | 80c | 376.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…a8fabacked Vacherot | 6c | 350.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Vacherot | 22c | 334.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Shelton | 76c | 327$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Shelton | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Vacherot | 20c | 300.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Shelton | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Vacherot | 19c | 268.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…58b5backed Shelton | 77c | 258.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…8390backed Shelton | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Vacherot | 21c | 233.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Vacherot | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Shelton | 78c | 227.26$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…7ecebacked Vacherot | 23c | 217.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Vacherot | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Shelton | 79c | 210$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Vacherot | 20c | 209.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Shelton | 79c | 208.86$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…5397backed Shelton | 78c | 200.41$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Shelton | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Vacherot | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Vacherot | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8828…c29abacked Vacherot | 21c | 187.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherotthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs VacherotShelton won
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)Shelton won
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-2.5) vs Vacherot (+2.5)Shelton won
- Shelton vs. Vacherot: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Shelton vs. Vacherot: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.