TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Corentin Moutet

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Moutetof Zheng, Moutet
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Zheng50c13,107$6,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,555.442,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Moutet62c10,137$6,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.461,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zheng34c10,080$3,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,417.5811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1027…966cbacked Zheng0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Zheng32c7,618$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.682,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Moutet55c7,592$4,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,436.2665647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Moutet58c7,500$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.9944360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Moutet58c6,921$4,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,906.828825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Moutet56c6,760$3,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982.178142%34 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Zheng43c6,697$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.1576146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Moutet48c6,325$3,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,277.081,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Zheng42c6,289$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.376541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zheng43c6,186$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,647.397,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Zheng52c5,360$2,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,791.671,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Moutet49c5,108$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.7213844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Moutet58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9817823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Moutet55c4,697$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.661,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Zheng42c4,598$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.087146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Zheng70c2,869$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.4110043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Zheng42c2,839$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.3831332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Zheng42c2,750$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15537540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Moutet55c2,650$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.498158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Zheng4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Moutet77c2,373$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.545444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Zheng65c2,369$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.811122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Zheng42c2,174$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.081,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Zheng45c2,098$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.2693055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Zheng45c2,046$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.772,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Moutet57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.995457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Zheng42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9932637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Zheng7c1,954$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13912344.7%55 W · 68 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc658…7dcebacked Moutet57c1,866$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.09258%2 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.25per pick33cpaid-77%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Zheng6c1,607$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.192,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zheng42c1,554$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.498,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Moutet48c1,342$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.544,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Moutet60c1,340$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.581,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Moutet77c1,322$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.455860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Zheng44c1,289$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.365036%18 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Zheng42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Zheng43c1,193$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.262,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Moutet60c1,150$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4563,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Zheng14c1,072$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2712631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Zheng43c1,018$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.5417863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Zheng43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43022737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Moutet28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9981938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Zheng23c967.8$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.567041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Moutet58c962.26$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.2626158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Zheng40c940$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.627733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Moutet57c939.98$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.1931753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb17…74cfbacked Moutet57c933.14$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Moutet60c832.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1325722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Moutet33c799.5$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.2525542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Moutet56c785.11$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.5526045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked Zheng13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Moutet45c765.79$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.732,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Zheng44c756.61$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.9112755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Moutet65c736.3$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.371,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Moutet58c700.66$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6610247.1%48 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6456…60e2backed Moutet58c656.34$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.374010%4 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-80%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Zheng26c649.24$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7947057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Zheng41c644.32$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.222755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Moutet63c611.98$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.9411859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Zheng27c609.7$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16324844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec8…6c77backed Zheng24c602.43$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2450%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Moutet58c568.63$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.633737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Moutet58c549.68$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.92,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Zheng43c528.95$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4547552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Moutet57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21514663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc8…4d6fbacked Zheng4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Zheng44c499.93$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.973429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Moutet30c468.95$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.0919023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Zheng44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Zheng44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Moutet58c450$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18920257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Zheng43c410.52$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Moutet32c403.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.794450%22 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Moutet58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Zheng11c400$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…af57backed Moutet57c389.28$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.395545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zheng41c385.55$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.081,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Moutet31c375.52$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9410843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Moutet58c368.21$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6523454.7%128 W · 106 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Moutet58c363$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4618548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Zheng28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Moutet57c352$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.363464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Moutet58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88d…2f28backed Zheng42c343.42$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fa…f25ebacked Moutet44c339.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0817840.4%72 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4da6…59fabacked Zheng45c331.11$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd1…3380backed Zheng20c329.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.52425%6 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e2f…35efbacked Moutet77c324.04$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.041844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Moutet60c321.51$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7788455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Moutet44c312.05$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1525043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Zheng34c308.25$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9614947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc3…861abacked Moutet58c284.95$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.082147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Zheng66c283.58$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2735951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Moutet36c280.36$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4328833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Zheng34c279.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3613834.1%47 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Zheng39c257.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Moutet56c241.87$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8124637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.