Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava Open: Panna Udvardy vs Darja Vidmanova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b930d22e04819f1e130e0c1652db497ed8febe272d4871217a8e92b7138d86c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Udvardyof Udvardy, Vidmanova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Vidmanova | 31c | 1,594$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.54 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vidmanova | 42c | 1,496$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Vidmanova | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.78 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Udvardy | 36c | 786.11$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.11 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked Udvardy | 31c | 734.42$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.75 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Udvardy | 72c | 363.78$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vidmanova | 22c | 320.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vidmanova | 25c | 314.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Vidmanova | 20c | 306$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Vidmanova | 25c | 275.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Udvardy | 61c | 245$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Udvardy | 68c | 237$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Udvardy | 33c | 210.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Udvardy | 72c | 139.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Vidmanova | 27c | 98.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Udvardy | 34c | 58.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Udvardy | 69c | 55.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Udvardy | 73c | 54.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2304…6541backed Vidmanova | 72c | 50.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Udvardy | 29c | 48.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vidmanova | 66c | 47.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Vidmanova | 32c | 44.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Udvardy | 37c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Vidmanova | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed Vidmanova | 71c | 28.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Udvardy | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked Vidmanova | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.