Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Syracuse Orange vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b4488c6e96b2c0cdc86692dd1a2d1062484fedce16c870a69cc354c958c4f1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Syracuse Orangeof Syracuse Orange, Pittsburgh Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Syracuse Orange | 48c | 2,777$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Syracuse Orange | 70c | 2,557$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.7 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 13c | 1,844$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.11 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 1,498$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.49 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 22c | 1,224$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.07 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 1c | 1,107$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Syracuse Orange | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 874.01$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.32 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 867.72$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.6 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Syracuse Orange | 71c | 851.95$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.29 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Syracuse Orange | 49c | 847.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.26 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 13c | 613.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 544.28$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.58 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 25c | 479.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Syracuse Orange | 49c | 468$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 26c | 382$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Syracuse Orange | 47c | 357$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Syracuse Orange | 47c | 211.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 195.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Syracuse Orange | 75c | 190.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 26c | 174$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 173.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Syracuse Orange | 60c | 135.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 37c | 130.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 33c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Syracuse Orange | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 81.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Syracuse Orange | 50c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 34c | 69.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 29c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 41c | 57.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 20c | 55.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 28c | 54.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 26c | 54.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Syracuse Orange | 50c | 44.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Syracuse Orange | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Syracuse Orange | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed Syracuse Orange | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 27.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Syracuse Orange | 49c | 26.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Syracuse Orange | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Syracuse Orange | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 54c | 24.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 44c | 24.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Syracuse Orange | 48c | 23.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Syracuse Orange vs. Pittsburgh Panthersthis page
- Spread: Syracuse Orange (-1.5)Syracuse Orange won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 140.5Over won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 142.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.