Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbd9ad8059ee525d18dab0a2c74b54adfb81e19e86b12d52b8ba5028451ea665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3538…eac8backed No | 74c | 13,244$9,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…52d2backed Yes | 3c | 3,845$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 43c | 3,497$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.6 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed No | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 6c | 2,965$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 32c | 2,898$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.19 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 20c | 2,787$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.96 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 2,606$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 61c | 2,319$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 9c | 2,308$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.62 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5a…df23backed Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…61e8backed Yes | 13c | 1,884$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.65 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 20c | 1,622$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.5 | 62 | 11.3%7 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x244f…b304backed Yes | 6c | 1,583$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…8284backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…e2c6backed Yes | 3c | 1,437$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 15c | 1,359$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.59 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8db…ddfcbacked Yes | 51c | 1,257$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 15c | 1,204$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…1d83backed Yes | 9c | 1,129$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 17c | 1,050$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.48 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 880.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…8668backed Yes | 2c | 824.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d1…4618backed Yes | 4c | 814.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 1c | 752.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 3c | 727.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 7c | 727.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 4c | 726.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…4a0ebacked Yes | 3c | 700.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 671.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…552cbacked Yes | 3c | 649.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…b8bcbacked Yes | 2c | 647.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 55c | 629.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed Yes | 3c | 606.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 16c | 589$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 8c | 587$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…cbd5backed Yes | 2c | 568.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 7c | 561.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…485cbacked Yes | 2c | 553.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes | 34c | 547.71$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…bad0backed Yes | 46c | 541.3$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d1…9ea6backed Yes | 2c | 536.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 520.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…0230backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…7ee2backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 5c | 470.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x704b…7f8ebacked Yes | 21c | 437$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…139bbacked Yes | 3c | 418.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…2f4fbacked Yes | 23c | 403.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92f…24dabacked Yes | 18c | 363.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…4251backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 9c | 340.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…56a7backed Yes | 32c | 312.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 64c | 310.94$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…59b0backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…09ffbacked Yes | 17c | 298.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed Yes | 36c | 280.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…f655backed Yes | 18c | 270.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1908…ecd3backed Yes | 12c | 266.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa85…fe60backed Yes | 52c | 260$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…5699backed Yes | 31c | 259.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…9557backed Yes | 26c | 257.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…d43dbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…7ce6backed Yes | 29c | 220$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3bf4backed Yes | 7c | 212.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e48…778cbacked Yes | 22c | 209$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3e…bb98backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…e326backed No | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…9c71backed No | 65c | 190$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb605…89ccbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…90e2backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 179.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Yes | 40c | 173.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 20c | 170.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Yes | 34c | 154.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a6…4387backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…4408backed Yes | 15c | 135.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…64bdbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c07…e999backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…aababacked Yes | 12c | 128.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84da…84f6backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…9d03backed Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…631dbacked Yes | 17c | 118.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 78c | 116.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…5e39backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…cf78backed Yes | 30c | 100.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5c…4ce5backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…9b7bbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc9…0165backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…2dd0backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 25c | 95.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…635dbacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed Yes | 18c | 92.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x025f…25cfbacked Yes | 26c | 87.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed No | 51c | 86.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?this page
- Will XRP dip to $0.20 in February?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.40 in February?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.60 in February?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.80 in February?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.20 in February?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $1.40 in February?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $1.60 in February?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.00 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.20 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.40 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.60 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.80 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.20 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.40 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.00 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.