Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacf1e49d6b41bff7c046aca25dc0044b3a1624e37bc9710a3192972af33f3e6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $496,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $476,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 7c | 34,597$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.74 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 1c | 20,573$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.29 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…ec79backed Yes | 8c | 14,168$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 2c | 14,139$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.61 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…be41backed Yes | 1c | 14,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…9e92backed Yes | 8c | 12,148$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…b4bdbacked Yes | 1c | 12,030$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…0b43backed No | 60c | 9,978$5,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.99 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 51c | 5,616$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.42 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4774…db3ebacked Yes | 59c | 5,401$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 5,398$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc434…cdaebacked Yes | 0c | 5,188$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…b386backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…359dbacked No | 75c | 4,000$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 3,797$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…e2c6backed Yes | 5c | 3,505$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.4 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed Yes | 5c | 3,218$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 9c | 3,198$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.41 | 62 | 11.3%7 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…d09abacked Yes | 9c | 2,798$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.15 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x129c…b2eabacked Yes | 24c | 2,600$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed Yes | 38c | 2,600$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…7a49backed Yes | 6c | 2,551$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 7c | 2,547$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 6c | 2,400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68b…9aa9backed Yes | 25c | 2,300$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 2,283$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.01 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…8605backed Yes | 1c | 2,053$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,916$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 5c | 1,907$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 10cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,856$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…a051backed Yes | 8c | 1,829$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…89c4backed Yes | 18c | 1,802$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…c9a0backed Yes | 25c | 1,700$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 25c | 1,688$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.69 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…e673backed Yes | 60c | 1,670$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 1,432$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…655cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,424$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…4a9cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed23…1241backed Yes | 24c | 1,400$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…d8f7backed Yes | 7c | 1,353$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…c27ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,308$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 4c | 1,277$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,277$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.19 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4896…fe47backed Yes | 6c | 1,159$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,154$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,059$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…cbbcbacked Yes | 19c | 1,043$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209d…43cebacked Yes | 19c | 1,031$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a6…4387backed Yes | 1c | 1,013$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…5c57backed Yes | 8c | 971.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…1d11backed Yes | 6c | 931.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 5c | 929.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 920.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92f…24dabacked Yes | 10c | 698.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Yes | 12c | 663.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…d43bbacked Yes | 6c | 638$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 16c | 632.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…afd3backed Yes | 6c | 618$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 8c | 607.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…0791backed Yes | 6c | 602$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 7c | 599.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 3c | 588.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e93…e71abacked Yes | 10c | 587.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45f3…842cbacked Yes | 9c | 577.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e2…b8b5backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 7c | 505.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e39…6f96backed Yes | 16c | 474.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa879…d9d8backed Yes | 16c | 443.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283f…7aabbacked Yes | 57c | 434.63$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 11c | 423.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…f78cbacked Yes | 4c | 413.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…818fbacked Yes | 5c | 408.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a7…36dcbacked Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 6c | 399.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…61e8backed Yes | 8c | 389.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Yes | 5c | 382.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 7c | 361.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f89…9363backed Yes | 8c | 329.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 4c | 323.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…add9backed Yes | 31c | 320.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 4c | 304.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…5e39backed Yes | 7c | 288.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 11c | 271.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…cb46backed Yes | 6c | 245.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 7c | 238.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…e9c5backed Yes | 25c | 236.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…06a2backed Yes | 21c | 231.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3bf4backed Yes | 7c | 220.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…9487backed Yes | 21c | 211.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…55b7backed Yes | 10c | 201.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…f375backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…635dbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…f800backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025f…25cfbacked Yes | 20c | 190.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c8…d39cbacked Yes | 21c | 184.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4504…cb89backed Yes | 16c | 184.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe644…76b6backed Yes | 16c | 173.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e6…6a1fbacked Yes | 7c | 160.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 149.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb713…f288backed Yes | 13c | 125.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?this page
- Will XRP dip to $0.20 in February?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.40 in February?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.60 in February?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.80 in February?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.20 in February?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $1.40 in February?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $1.60 in February?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.00 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.20 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.40 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.60 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.80 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.20 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.40 in February?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.00 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.