TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8ab…6418backed No44c3,502$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.5845738.9%178 W · 279 L-31.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1b2…a321backed Yes58c2,273$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.88580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+201.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e35…384fbacked Yes35c1,168$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.81833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2a…869abacked Yes44c1,050$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9f…c0d4backed Yes33c942$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.861643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x656c…af94backed Yes35c925$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.751758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+59%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d38…e898backed No44c827$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.121560%9 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+123%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbcf8…0657backed No45c808$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.42462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes26c802.68$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.072454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab9…2ff1backed No65c797$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.951457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0b2…9d96backed Yes54c731$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.741643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x965d…7773backed No67c724$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.922040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2232…a794backed No46c716$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.641154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x169a…55e4backed Yes39c699$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.611973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+84.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8d7c…a11bbacked No61c694$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.661136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd68…cdd3backed Yes32c685$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac45…1dcfbacked Yes52c659$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x673d…e929backed No44c645$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.21070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+77.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes56c625$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a92…d2e9backed No27c620$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.61070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked Yes55c604$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.21741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d5…8f10backed No74c600$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1544100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed No48c592$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.842254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf55…7d8abacked No47c589$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.172035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9279…9ca7backed No44c573$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.881936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff5d…4e58backed Yes73c564$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.721631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7d2…39f0backed Yes56c533$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.481145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccc2…271abacked No45c513$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.151566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+66.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes71c513$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.232045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76fd…e8c4backed Yes56c506$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+75.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be7…46eebacked No29c504$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.842035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed Yes55c503$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.651361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+90.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x319c…4a94backed Yes33c491$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.03520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked No55c484.68$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.579632.3%31 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked Yes65c484$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.62025%5 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfcd9…6c92backed No68c472$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0257…6beabacked No68c472$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.241540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c3…9cefbacked Yes32c472$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.041735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe54d…c913backed Yes55c467$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.851181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+53.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5544…802abacked No45c467$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.855100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+90.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed Yes39c433$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.872556%14 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8132…a491backed No61c433$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.871040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22f2…90d7backed No67c432$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.563540%14 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcb…b296backed Yes62c425.12$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.29875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a16…0c03backed No44c412$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.721233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2eb…5751backed Yes56c398$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.882560%15 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64c2…c527backed Yes39c383$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.371346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd70e…0ac1backed No61c383$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.37742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed No48c361$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.721735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecb6…cfe8backed No47c360$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d5…2e11backed No29c355$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.053345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd22a…ac22backed No35c336.14$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfde…8411backed Yes25c333.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a3a…ca4cbacked Yes56c314$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.841662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed45…929dbacked Yes51c313$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.631450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa71c…d0a8backed No49c313$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x031d…87d1backed No60c297.66$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33e8…dc93backed No58c295$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc047…c0e6backed Yes38c270.19$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes55c260.14$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3157426.8%154 W · 420 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0278…00e6backed Yes71c245$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.951127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f5…d7aabacked No29c241$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.112334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe02b…e86dbacked No35c236$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98cb…a127backed No68c233$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.56580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99ab…edc1backed Yes52c224$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.481540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ab…56e8backed No67c218$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.941668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+47%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes65c206$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.91414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8547…39abbacked No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3684…9669backed Yes57c194$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.581631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No76c185.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4572935.5%259 W · 470 L-57.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x936f…357abacked Yes35c185$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05b…8df1backed Yes57c181$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.171258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6382…f298backed Yes35c178$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccfc…0ccabacked Yes35c177$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3177…9e0cbacked Yes35c173$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e7…ebdcbacked No65c173$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.551376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+100.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3363…d8d9backed Yes35c170$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…588ebacked No43c167$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.191855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked No68c165.55$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.74360.5%26 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe63f…93a8backed Yes35c164$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de2…1f97backed Yes35c160$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1063…1d3fbacked No29c158$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.181833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes55c155$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.252744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad8…9756backed No48c145$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf06d…db77backed Yes52c145$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.41844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce82…7eeabacked Yes41c142$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5a…8b29backed Yes41c136$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Yes58c134.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.012646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa43…b1fbbacked Yes41c132$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc14e…182cbacked Yes41c129$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6b…d80fbacked Yes41c129$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3e…6b65backed No65c128$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No55c126.1$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.544619.6%9 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83b0…cf07backed Yes41c125$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5f…81c0backed No35c115$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.751442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb875…dabbbacked Yes65c107.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes54c107.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.220544.4%91 W · 114 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa347…2a40backed Yes71c105$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.552520%5 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-71.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4617…8597backed Yes42c102$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ba…f02dbacked No65c102$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.71747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.