AI · resolved market
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6882c8c51fbe7a7e03d758768e9f4c1434b21118b201dd7ff48a20708e1441a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked Yes | 80c | 1,379$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked No | 47c | 1,189$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…9238backed Yes | 53c | 1,127$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed Yes | 54c | 1,036$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed Yes | 80c | 1,032$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed Yes | 80c | 861$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 44cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed Yes | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed Yes | 80c | 727$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.30per pick | 31cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…9669backed No | 20c | 665$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…1be5backed No | 20c | 609$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked No | 20c | 594$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed No | 49c | 590$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked Yes | 51c | 590$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes | 18c | 556$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.92 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…debabacked Yes | 80c | 548$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed No | 20c | 545$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed No | 20c | 511$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…bf21backed No | 20c | 497$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked No | 46c | 445$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…6447backed Yes | 80c | 442$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…4580backed No | 20c | 442$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed No | 45c | 408$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 20c | 387$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed No | 20c | 367$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed No | 44c | 291.47$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 16c | 262$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 20c | 257$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…a675backed No | 20c | 182$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed No | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed Yes | 57c | 153$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6307…0447backed No | 43c | 153$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed No | 20c | 141$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed Yes | 51c | 129$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed No | 49c | 129$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 74c | 126.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked No | 20c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed No | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…7bebbacked Yes | 76c | 72.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 77c | 52.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…30c9backed No | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?this page
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.80 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.60 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.80 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.