AI · resolved market
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2bceda7b2735ef253f2be36b2bdcdd4dbe1f11c5344cbce4856d3b801125392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 12c | 1,178$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 12c | 1,154$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…8fe1backed No | 27c | 1,100$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked No | 10c | 993$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed Yes | 78c | 926$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 27c | 823$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 579.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed No | 10c | 558$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…c13fbacked Yes | 78c | 546$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…44a9backed Yes | 59c | 530$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed No | 41c | 518$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 12c | 508$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Yes | 78c | 447$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -67%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…9ca7backed No | 22c | 447$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…109cbacked Yes | 78c | 444$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked No | 22c | 444$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 71c | 438.59$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.19 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 52c | 419$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked No | 48c | 419$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed No | 10c | 418.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…f5b7backed No | 26c | 405.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…827bbacked Yes | 78c | 405$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed No | 73c | 385$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 22c | 370$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed No | 12c | 351.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…70a2backed Yes | 27c | 340$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…a432backed No | 73c | 340$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 22c | 319$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 34c | 299.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed No | 12c | 298$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…cdfabacked Yes | 57c | 283$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed No | 43c | 283$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed No | 73c | 249$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ce…2213backed No | 22c | 237$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 22c | 220$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 75c | 201.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 9c | 192.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…d2e9backed No | 73c | 189$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…1ee7backed Yes | 74c | 134.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca52…0cdfbacked No | 24c | 129.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8411backed Yes | 52c | 96.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…ac2abacked Yes | 77c | 86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf359…2916backed No | 48c | 76.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 74c | 64.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fb…2f00backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…2b42backed No | 24c | 41.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 31c | 40.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a67…0913backed Yes | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…7926backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf33…fb3bbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked Yes | 65c | 29.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +216.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58a1…17a6backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?this page
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.80 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.60 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.80 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.