AI · resolved market
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed7b5f334dbef90eb49662b4a0b82e3db02d3d74e7366ed1ae3436d8ea7285f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f2a…869abacked Yes | 12c | 2,167$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c9…bee7backed Yes | 16c | 1,278$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 14c | 1,009$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes | 16c | 978$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked Yes | 17c | 978$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 16c | 912$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Yes | 16c | 900$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 19c | 889$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 16c | 864$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed Yes | 16c | 856$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed Yes | 40c | 845$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 827.16$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…e8e9backed Yes | 16c | 723$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked Yes | 16c | 584$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed Yes | 24c | 572$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed No | 76c | 538$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked No | 60c | 490$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 17c | 452$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 12c | 400.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…c0e6backed Yes | 18c | 400$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 15c | 299.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked Yes | 19c | 286$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 260.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 16c | 253$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 13c | 216.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 13c | 200.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 41c | 143.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed No | 76c | 134$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed Yes | 16c | 126$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked No | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8411backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…9238backed Yes | 16c | 106$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…62ecbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 34c | 95.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 88.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…66afbacked Yes | 17c | 81.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…2b42backed Yes | 18c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 44c | 41.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 77c | 21.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?this page
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.80 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.25 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.60 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.80 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.