Movies · resolved market

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabcc2c1205b6a599a26e06316f9c79044af30a751252b522b4b86aab12affa0a

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $132,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $115,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,496 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x06dc…af59backed Yes	44c	13,880$6,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,150.24	260	41.2%107 W · 153 L	+15.4wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62cf…5826backed No	38c	10,274$3,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,409.53	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes	7c	7,481$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.53	163	50.3%82 W · 81 L	+24.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes	5c	7,195$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.4	294	23.5%69 W · 225 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-43%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes	1c	5,500$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	35c	4,710$1,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,659.4	285	28.8%82 W · 203 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53a4…4447backed Yes	62c	4,244$2,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,629.43	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	+10.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	2c	4,138$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.83	328	14.9%49 W · 279 L	+14.2wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ef…be38backed Yes	25c	2,600$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.94	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	55c	2,550$1,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399	80	40%32 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes	22c	1,885$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.79	67	31.3%21 W · 46 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	29c	1,728$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.2	473	28.3%134 W · 339 L	-32.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed Yes	62c	1,483$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.35	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	78c	1,450$1,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.35	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes	45c	1,398$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.09	200	49.5%99 W · 101 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5684…7874backed Yes	32c	1,388$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.53	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	20c	1,362$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.2	140	15%21 W · 119 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x955c…990fbacked Yes	20c	1,315$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.43	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d86fbacked No	73c	1,229$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.71	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	26c	1,207$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.2	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebad…f22bbacked Yes	25c	1,189$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.38	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dff…1f35backed Yes	43c	1,124$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.65	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No	75c	1,106$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.86	137	40.1%55 W · 82 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	62c	1,083$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.47	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bca…b60abacked Yes	29c	1,073$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.56	114	21.9%25 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes	2c	1,028$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	27.6%21 W · 55 L	-6.9wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-43%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Yes	7c	1,018$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Yes	22c	1,009$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b9f…0fc9backed Yes	18c	1,005$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.29	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes	30c	936.96$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.63	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd86e…ee3ebacked No	37c	844.26$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.25	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Yes	10c	741$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes	10c	700$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.61	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	9c	700$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	278	1.8%5 W · 273 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes	51c	673.89$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.72	103	31.1%32 W · 71 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes	6c	661.76$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.16	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5998…9e83backed Yes	2c	643.6$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.29	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes	9c	600$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	38c	581.03$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.5	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb028…8686backed Yes	28c	575$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	236	39.8%94 W · 142 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e1…fbf4backed Yes	11c	560.4$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.17	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b6…a5f3backed Yes	3c	500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	53c	496.57$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.48	135	34.8%47 W · 88 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	9c	483.12$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.35	204	2.9%6 W · 198 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x401e…6fc9backed No	43c	457.97$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.44	175	40%70 W · 105 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…abf5backed No	72c	453.78$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.35	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes	38c	411.45$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.78	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdec0…8336backed Yes	33c	402.67$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.88	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes	41c	399.94$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.98	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe66a…a0a0backed Yes	22c	390.04$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.92	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes	30c	380.12$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.92	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	353.12$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.65	484	14%68 W · 416 L	-39.3wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f11…ddc4backed No	77c	340.19$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.24	150	59.3%89 W · 61 L	+19.8wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked No	60c	340$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	58	31%18 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes	57c	299.99$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	18c	290.74$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.52	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes	60c	284.71$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.86	327	39.1%128 W · 199 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	8c	284.56$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.92	93	4.3%4 W · 89 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00dc…d521backed Yes	59c	263.35$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.94	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c2…1398backed Yes	15c	256.66$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Yes	30c	246$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.1	146	28.1%41 W · 105 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x714e…beeebacked Yes	30c	235.78$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.58	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	54c	225.9$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.97	231	30.3%70 W · 161 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	30c	223.82$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.89	230	41.7%96 W · 134 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No	43c	208.1$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.75	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f29…0760backed Yes	56c	200$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	9c	199.96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fbe…0764backed No	39c	197.5$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.48	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e47…db27backed Yes	16c	173$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.68	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	15c	168.72$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.57	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-57%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	55c	164.99$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.74	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa893…7ca1backed Yes	45c	156.67$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe131…174abacked Yes	33c	154.55$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c24…ae45backed Yes	7c	143.13$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e0…572dbacked Yes	31c	142.81$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.27	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1f…e0debacked No	53c	140.87$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.75	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x631c…450fbacked Yes	29c	135.68$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes	25c	133.04$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.09	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd483…6365backed Yes	41c	120.31$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.41	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No	45c	120$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	162	37.7%61 W · 101 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ca7abacked No	27c	116.58$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.55	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	+22.0wins	+0.23per pick	23cpaid	+88%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0x4ec6…329dbacked Yes	62c	113.98$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.67	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c9…3fecbacked Yes	39c	112.66$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.49	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8973…a37cbacked No	53c	108.33$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.74	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4986…aacbbacked Yes	19c	107.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.92	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes	29c	106$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.74	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x564f…7034backed Yes	59c	102.27$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.29	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	64c	101.77$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.18	208	50%104 W · 104 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4a…6cb1backed Yes	33c	100.61$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.2	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d30…1a5ebacked Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5043…1399backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcc…5bd9backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc24f…1acdbacked Yes	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.67	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a66…f499backed Yes	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef3e…eff5backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.43	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6a…0b6bbacked Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf933…52fbbacked Yes	12c	99.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	122	40.2%49 W · 73 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?this page
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?Yes won
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?No won
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 57m?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event