MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bbc7cbb4a9bd9257b3dd3914f4823d93223b07d3d1b299fe5a90c0f34b1ca10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $821,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $870,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $821,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Phillies | 53c | 484,455$254,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229,914.13 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Marlins | 46c | 172,532$80,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,014.77 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Marlins | 48c | 134,165$64,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,641.09 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 49c | 72,695$35,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,620.75 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 48c | 50,698$24,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,242.58 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9529…d6d9backed Marlins | 0c | 33,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 46c | 29,454$13,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,436.03 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Phillies | 52c | 28,571$14,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,596.71 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Marlins | 46c | 20,000$9,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,207.49 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 49c | 18,184$8,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,910.04 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 51c | 18,029$9,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,834.21 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 29c | 16,130$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,606.85 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 53c | 12,232$6,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,748.92 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 45c | 10,555$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.75 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Phillies | 56c | 10,393$5,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.86 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Marlins | 49c | 10,183$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,989.83 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 47c | 8,664$4,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,096.68 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Marlins | 8c | 8,139$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.12 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Phillies | 53c | 6,339$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.21 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 48c | 6,008$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.82 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 45c | 5,412$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.75 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Phillies | 51c | 5,273$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.71 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Phillies | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Marlins | 49c | 4,900$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 49c | 4,185$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.86 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Phillies | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Marlins | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.99 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Marlins | 50c | 3,999$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.45 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Phillies | 51c | 3,437$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.2 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Marlins | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.18 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Marlins | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.18 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Marlins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 53c | 3,000$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.99 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 24c | 2,949$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Phillies | 52c | 2,431$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.63 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Marlins | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 61c | 1,979$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.29 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Phillies | 54c | 1,968$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.17 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 52c | 1,928$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.43 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Marlins | 45c | 1,731$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.85 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Phillies | 53c | 1,675$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.61 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Marlins | 45c | 1,569$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.05 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…128fbacked Marlins | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Phillies | 50c | 1,477$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.47 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 47c | 1,300$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Phillies | 65c | 1,240$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.83 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 68c | 1,082$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 52c | 1,055$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.16 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3257backed Marlins | 49c | 1,048$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.42per pick | 52cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Marlins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Marlins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Phillies | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Marlins | 2c | 999.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 55c | 999.95$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Marlins | 45c | 988.89$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Marlins | 25c | 953.51$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.26 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2334…45f1backed Marlins | 45c | 936$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Phillies | 52c | 846.15$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.15 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Phillies | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Phillies | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 67c | 666.68$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Phillies | 51c | 597.58$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.38 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 47c | 584.97$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.94 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Phillies | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Marlins | 44c | 559.22$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.97 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Phillies | 51c | 554.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.94 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Phillies | 53c | 528.3$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Marlins | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Marlins | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Marlins | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Marlins | 49c | 469.39$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 47c | 466.35$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.6 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Phillies | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Marlins | 31c | 445.14$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Marlins | 49c | 424.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Phillies | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Phillies | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Marlins | 49c | 380$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 20c | 351.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 52c | 336.18$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.36 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 17c | 328$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Phillies | 52c | 307.58$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.64 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Phillies | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Phillies | 60c | 300$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Phillies | 52c | 298.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Phillies | 54c | 296.6$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 28c | 294$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Phillies | 52c | 289.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.85 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Marlins | 45c | 288.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Marlins | 13c | 274.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 26c | 264.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.