MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbca9d103287b2808013e6a47e2f2fdf0c16b8390e098b8e693819a55631aeb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Astros, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $695,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $699,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Astros | 53c | 230,017$121,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,357.31 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 47c | 134,347$63,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,924.09 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Athletics | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,000 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Astros | 58c | 90,861$52,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,403.46 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Astros | 52c | 77,072$39,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,820.9 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Athletics | 52c | 61,947$31,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,986.6 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 46c | 42,980$19,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,230.77 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Athletics | 47c | 26,709$12,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,155.77 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 44c | 23,319$10,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,149.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Astros | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Astros | 58c | 17,650$10,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,248.7 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 43c | 12,232$5,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,972.1 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 45c | 11,661$5,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,362.54 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 47c | 9,073$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,826.29 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Athletics | 50c | 7,593$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.66 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 44c | 7,240$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,039.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 55c | 7,149$3,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,931.79 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Athletics | 43c | 6,819$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.5 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Athletics | 47c | 5,605$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.85 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Athletics | 43c | 4,705$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.85 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Astros | 57c | 4,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Astros | 56c | 3,562$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Athletics | 43c | 3,530$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.13 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Athletics | 47c | 3,333$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.11 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Athletics | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.49 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 48c | 3,276$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Astros | 50c | 2,605$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Astros | 57c | 2,568$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Astros | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Athletics | 43c | 2,431$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.67 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Astros | 57c | 2,399$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.33 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Athletics | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Astros | 56c | 2,051$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.34 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 43c | 2,022$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.7 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Astros | 55c | 2,020$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.99 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 57c | 2,000$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.39 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Astros | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Astros | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 46c | 1,956$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.92 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Athletics | 46c | 1,602$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.65 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Astros | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 48c | 1,455$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.27 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Astros | 56c | 1,333$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.46 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Athletics | 42c | 1,329$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.57 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Athletics | 50c | 1,294$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.9 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 56c | 1,294$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.57 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Athletics | 48c | 1,280$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.6 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0314…7837backed Astros | 47c | 1,280$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…14a8backed Athletics | 42c | 1,250$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Astros | 58c | 1,153$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.07 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…7f3cbacked Astros | 58c | 1,060$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Athletics | 32c | 1,041$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.63 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Athletics | 59c | 1,020$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Astros | 44c | 1,000$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.5 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Athletics | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 60c | 950$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.56 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Astros | 46c | 881.78$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.81 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Astros | 54c | 859.89$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.74 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 56c | 858.67$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.42 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Astros | 57c | 799.71$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.83 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Astros | 57c | 720$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec20…b3a1backed Astros | 52c | 564.37$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 51c | 552.99$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 48c | 530.04$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.03 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 52c | 527$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2f…746cbacked Astros | 58c | 513.79$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Astros | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Athletics | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Athletics | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 41c | 499.68$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.81 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Astros | 51c | 488.9$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 58c | 482.76$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Astros | 58c | 427.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Astros | 58c | 426.42$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.32 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Astros | 58c | 425.69$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.9 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Astros | 48c | 415.1$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Astros | 52c | 396.62$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Athletics | 44c | 388.64$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Athletics | 53c | 379.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Astros | 46c | 371.22$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.76 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Athletics | 54c | 369$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Astros | 56c | 365$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed Astros | 59c | 362.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Athletics | 40c | 360.02$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.26 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Athletics | 49c | 350.02$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.51 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 45c | 329.48$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 44c | 324.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.7 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Athletics | 38c | 302.37$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.28 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…3ef4backed Athletics | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Astros | 55c | 277.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…9929backed Astros | 53c | 276.6$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Astros | 69c | 260.2$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.