Middle East · resolved market
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd219e16129ab22d86c00d294e17b7d53cc2b6423033be8b68f94ec9550214f39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $440,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $423,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa733…cd61backed No | 62c | 35,656$22,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,549.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cd…e8b3backed Yes | 38c | 35,656$13,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,549.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…1d68backed Yes | 50c | 18,598$9,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,212.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 80c | 7,439$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.62 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 71c | 6,042$4,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.93 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 46c | 5,870$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.7 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…a478backed Yes | 51c | 5,824$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.45 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 15c | 5,129$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.32 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 37c | 5,027$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.79 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 55c | 4,905$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.61 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 60c | 3,865$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.01 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 38c | 3,750$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.81 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…95e6backed Yes | 54c | 3,713$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 52c | 3,529$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.06 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 3,399$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.38 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…a32abacked No | 74c | 3,331$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.62 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…8dc4backed No | 59c | 3,299$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…de57backed Yes | 15c | 3,287$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 26c | 3,075$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.99 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…7de9backed Yes | 9c | 2,718$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 8c | 2,502$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.47 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 10c | 2,449$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.77 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 32c | 2,349$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.49 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…adf8backed Yes | 43c | 2,313$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,306$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.25 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 56c | 2,295$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.52 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…8422backed Yes | 20c | 2,277$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.41 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 24c | 2,213$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 55c | 2,091$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…db42backed No | 77c | 2,011$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32fe…025fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,007$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…35e5backed Yes | 53c | 1,890$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…9a6cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,782$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,775$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 33c | 1,765$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…b4babacked Yes | 15c | 1,727$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 51c | 1,713$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.02 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 64c | 1,707$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.63 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…3d36backed No | 70c | 1,658$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.97 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…a71dbacked No | 64c | 1,656$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.3 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 69c | 1,636$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.61 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…1acebacked Yes | 18c | 1,633$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…f498backed Yes | 26c | 1,627$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…9368backed Yes | 62c | 1,612$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 24c | 1,433$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10c…c7a7backed Yes | 15c | 1,383$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 32c | 1,267$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.36 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -85%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,255$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.96 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 55c | 1,250$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 73c | 1,246$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.04 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b0…6a57backed Yes | 48c | 1,237$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.32 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 23c | 1,211$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.17 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 47c | 1,200$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.84 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 71c | 1,178$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.43 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 20c | 1,142$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.46 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…1e9bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,136$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.97 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 38c | 1,091$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.68 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Yes | 38c | 1,085$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.65 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +106%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 73c | 1,079$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.37 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…5d20backed Yes | 2c | 1,053$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…dbc0backed Yes | 56c | 1,052$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 45c | 1,039$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.66 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…536dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,019$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…cfa0backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…f1f0backed Yes | 54c | 929.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 70c | 887.87$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.19 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x112d…18b9backed Yes | 34c | 881.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 866.82$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.14 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d648backed Yes | 42c | 842.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +199.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…9c69backed Yes | 9c | 839.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…5421backed Yes | 21c | 835.79$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0372…a86bbacked Yes | 12c | 825.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…615bbacked Yes | 27c | 820$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012c…c821backed No | 73c | 820$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 819.24$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.35 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…14a8backed No | 48c | 810$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c4…2f6cbacked Yes | 52c | 810$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 29c | 799.6$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.11 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…8c6fbacked Yes | 26c | 793.41$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 53c | 782.44$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.34 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…ad2abacked Yes | 65c | 774.16$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd118…a96dbacked Yes | 29c | 773.56$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.39 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 29c | 757.94$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.24 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…fccdbacked Yes | 11c | 743.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 740.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 35c | 730$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d4…b1e7backed No | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…e1e4backed Yes | 29c | 696.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c3…289cbacked Yes | 43c | 691.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 74c | 673.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.59 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 37c | 673.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…7f5cbacked Yes | 30c | 672.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…ce1ebacked Yes | 20c | 666.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…7fb5backed No | 76c | 650$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.45 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…507bbacked Yes | 31c | 645.56$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…e55abacked No | 73c | 629.48$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 7c | 600.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2964…ea1ebacked Yes | 7c | 600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.