TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Real Madrid beat RB Salzburg?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,929 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed No22c46,353$10,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,080.9512536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed No24c29,922$7,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,081.238740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes77c16,547$12,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,871.6917852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes79c14,318$11,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.76232.3%20 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes76c10,004$7,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4016058.3%35 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes78c10,002$7,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.477042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bef…19b2backed Yes77c7,013$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes76c6,633$5,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.9218758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No25c4,100$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9920948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…f137backed Yes78c3,549$2,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.775052%26 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x497f…fe58backed Yes79c3,039$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.11090%9 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+50.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes76c3,001$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.8330657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed No22c2,849$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.824233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…2a4ebacked Yes78c2,600$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed No27c1,866$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002025%5 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes73c1,851$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.8510736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes80c1,825$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36528540%114 W · 171 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No23c1,226$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4138048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No21c1,087$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.45927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked No23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+106.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No22c799.97$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9913333.1%44 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.827659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3282…7716backed Yes79c424.05$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.051656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No25c399.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49f…3408backed Yes78c347.44$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.441850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dd2…4524backed Yes78c334.62$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+97.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes79c327.24$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.241250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked No23c321.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755829.3%17 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6612862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7225450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x516d…03e5backed No28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No22c299.94$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.995444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes77c254.87$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6214955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Yes77c214.29$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.294266.7%28 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes76c208.61$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6120667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes76c204.33$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf137…9951backed No22c202.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2623…23f1backed Yes77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x442a…7c94backed No23c199.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.995437%20 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No25c197.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504231%13 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Yes76c197.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.373060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a7f…71c7backed Yes78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.311070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No18c163.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.934647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07e…9851backed Yes78c162.85$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.21471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes75c160$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1088…b813backed No22c140$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.587876.9%60 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5814655.5%81 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c8…0de1backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb09e…0e53backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccee…b6e1backed Yes79c127.61$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes78c110.63$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.349556.8%54 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b1…bacfbacked Yes75c105$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.251060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes77c103.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.873053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked No23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232725.9%7 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed No24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked No22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011429.8%34 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked No25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204619.6%9 W · 37 L-7.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-57%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes75c79.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5612854.7%70 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b9…e58fbacked Yes77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.921376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d75…41dcbacked Yes78c74.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.481233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x850a…6628backed Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb4…0a1bbacked Yes79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…c308backed Yes79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.291855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No24c53.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.952133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…9191backed Yes78c53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.66366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.519344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6155…0dd4backed Yes75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed No26c48.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.683828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-51.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x562f…e46fbacked Yes75c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e8…f846backed Yes76c43.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.464100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…41f0backed Yes76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.471580%12 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd197…9991backed Yes77c39.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0146…b7b5backed Yes77c38.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa401…1efebacked Yes76c31.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.66887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd082…29e4backed Yes77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31fa…2297backed Yes77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed Yes78c28.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.212441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1854…27c0backed Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c92…b9c9backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4acb…87babacked Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0425…9b90backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c4b…a5d5backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x594a…49aebacked Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ea…127dbacked Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb8e…bceebacked Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fb…0be6backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x203c…a26abacked Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3226144.4%116 W · 145 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024f…daf0backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f8…b370backed Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+89.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8821…3914backed Yes78c24.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.421241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…de13backed Yes77c20.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.66650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.84032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.