MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec40ac09d0ebbdf085ddc50f1ef5215ea7bbbb8f75c80aa3e02fb2212392600f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Royals, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Royals | 45c | 53,670$24,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,563.09 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 55c | 49,196$27,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,057.79 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 56c | 35,016$19,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,439.32 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 44c | 30,000$13,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,872.37 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Royals | 45c | 25,000$11,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,752.37 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 65c | 23,230$15,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,035.85 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 39c | 14,645$5,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.39 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 51c | 11,028$5,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,419.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Royals | 29c | 10,187$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,187.27 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Royals | 79c | 10,186$8,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.16 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 53c | 9,682$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.47 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 27c | 6,993$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.31 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mariners | 57c | 5,993$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,421.6 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 53c | 5,189$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.21 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 55c | 5,034$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.02 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 57c | 4,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Mariners | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 50c | 3,526$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.78 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Royals | 65c | 3,210$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.12 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Mariners | 1c | 2,946$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 47c | 2,440$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.3 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mariners | 54c | 2,170$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.8 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Royals | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.22 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Royals | 42c | 2,025$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.5 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Mariners | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 39c | 1,896$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Royals | 75c | 1,871$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.24 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Royals | 47c | 1,867$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.52 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x592a…7a5ebacked Royals | 26c | 1,862$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mariners | 49c | 1,625$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.98 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mariners | 60c | 1,580$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.97 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 14c | 1,537$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Mariners | 54c | 1,509$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Royals | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 25c | 1,490$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.6 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Mariners | 54c | 1,346$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.63 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners | 57c | 1,294$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.31 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Royals | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,017$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.3 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners | 53c | 999.97$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.29 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 56c | 937$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Royals | 39c | 920.88$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.4 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 53c | 754.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 59c | 708.24$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.86 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 57c | 696.55$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.03 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Mariners | 59c | 625$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.77 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Mariners | 53c | 613.21$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Mariners | 54c | 593.06$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Royals | 34c | 589.53$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.42 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mariners | 6c | 581.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 70c | 540$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Royals | 59c | 504.13$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.11 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Mariners | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Royals | 47c | 497.87$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.87 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Mariners | 32c | 497.83$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mariners | 20c | 492.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Mariners | 68c | 492.05$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.74 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Royals | 48c | 464.39$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.97 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Mariners | 46c | 461.25$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 59c | 457.63$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…e879backed Royals | 48c | 416.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Royals | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Mariners | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Mariners | 56c | 394.79$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Mariners | 56c | 385.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.02 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 23c | 342.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Mariners | 79c | 340.34$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.87 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mariners | 26c | 298$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mariners | 24c | 287.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Royals | 47c | 287.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.23 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 39c | 282.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Mariners | 58c | 281.02$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.67 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Royals | 47c | 280.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.63 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Mariners | 56c | 273.13$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 6c | 266.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed Mariners | 12c | 265.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Mariners | 31c | 261.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mariners | 5c | 253$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbd…261bbacked Mariners | 52c | 241.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Mariners | 53c | 240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 54c | 218$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 47c | 212.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Royals | 47c | 208.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 52c | 197.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…81f0backed Mariners | 42c | 197.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…4dadbacked Royals | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Royals | 45c | 189.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Mariners | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Mariners | 78c | 175.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Mariners | 53c | 174.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1cd9backed Mariners | 53c | 171.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.