TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Nationals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rockiesof Rockies, Nationals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$428,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$439,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Nationals62c231,910$143,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,145.9616643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Rockies39c85,000$33,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,85044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Rockies36c72,304$26,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,950.9411746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Nationals63c49,999$31,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,499.3735854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Rockies38c32,345$12,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,038.1311153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rockies42c30,425$12,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,767.6286751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockies37c22,995$8,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,495.4941850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rockies38c21,000$7,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,02038047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Rockies37c19,494$7,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,281.3715553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nationals47c14,110$6,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,583.839,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies65c12,360$8,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,276.852,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies39c12,232$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,461.371,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x458d…178fbacked Nationals65c9,995$6,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,496.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac61…4680backed Rockies35c9,995$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,496.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies58c9,162$5,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,838.260249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies69c8,381$5,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.6197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals52c5,933$3,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.1554941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nationals17c5,502$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.5925416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies38c4,995$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,077.932,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Nationals61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44025550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Rockies69c3,490$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.4639739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Rockies64c3,441$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.275764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Nationals62c3,429$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.4626847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Nationals63c3,333$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.794452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Nationals63c3,333$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.7932754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rockies37c3,333$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.7998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals63c2,904$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.61,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rockies39c2,565$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.6560451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Rockies39c2,537$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.2910143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Nationals63c2,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57531346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Nationals50c2,498$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.1665549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Rockies38c2,400$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.4326453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rockies55c2,369$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.2840547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1878…6f4abacked Nationals36c2,262$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.43145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Rockies37c2,123$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.4927953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Nationals63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nationals60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b2…f8d4backed Rockies35c1,653$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a73…d55dbacked Nationals65c1,650$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Nationals2c1,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2546631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59de…de22backed Nationals61c1,500$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.975145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Nationals60c1,333$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.2795850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Nationals62c1,320$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.2776456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals45c1,109$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockies39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.8673352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nationals61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6101,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies39c999.82$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.8993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Nationals63c918.38$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.5833349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Nationals48c828.6$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockies66c800$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.831,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies68c778.43$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.281,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Nationals64c770.31$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49325954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Nationals62c752.88$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.424742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Nationals40c749.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.71,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rockies37c718.85$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.165,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Rockies35c699.99$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.998739.1%34 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Nationals30c632.13$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.218139.5%32 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Rockies32c567.29$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.353525.7%9 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Rockies34c516.92$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.174546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Rockies40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals54c465.34$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.994,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Rockies60c415$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1668454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Nationals61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Nationals64c387.96$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2912552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Nationals45c356.17$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0142955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Nationals61c349.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.516347.2%77 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Rockies63c321.6$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2219650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2c…a1c2backed Nationals63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Nationals65c315.38$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20550852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Nationals64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf116…070bbacked Nationals65c307$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5241…f648backed Rockies34c306.41$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.419747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Nationals63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18913555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Nationals50c299.14$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14938743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Rockies64c271.84$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.848360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…eb7cbacked Nationals55c256.29$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403125.8%8 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Nationals37c247.22$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6720343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals62c240.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3133…5b73backed Rockies38c239.16$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.563351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Nationals43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Nationals63c229.97$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.882,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Rockies38c218$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1615543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Nationals50c205.47$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.552542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Nationals23c191.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Rockies39c175$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7520954.5%114 W · 95 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rockies37c173.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.251,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Nationals40c165$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6645248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Nationals62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Nationals66c157.88$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Nationals64c155.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f91abacked Nationals63c155.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.463336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Nationals40c153.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8851953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Nationals65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Rockies36c151.65$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6518951.3%97 W · 92 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df4…0fe8backed Nationals66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008257.3%47 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x413d…7bbebacked Rockies39c147.79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.153756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Nationals20c143.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2824040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.891,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf067…5d54backed Rockies40c138.55$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.133452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.