TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07c8…2696backed Yes43c18,257$7,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8502450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c14,242$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,642.176,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c13,546$7,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,861.182,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c10,544$6,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,970.872,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes40c8,431$3,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,389.7532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes44c6,735$2,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.4918948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c6,323$4,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.454,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes38c6,113$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.945752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No57c5,256$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.4610050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes43c5,066$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.21631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes42c3,238$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.741,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No74c2,685$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.6810768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes44c2,627$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.8512642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No56c2,310$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.47945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes43c2,300$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No74c2,032$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.091,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No57c2,013$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.564953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No56c1,840$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.666137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes44c1,587$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.958145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes2c1,398$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.984425%11 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No59c1,150$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.5721965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes45c1,129$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.1825836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…c7f3backed Yes2c1,056$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-73.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4853134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes14c994.12$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354626.1%12 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes41c804$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.331,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes21c759$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608047.5%38 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No73c754.92$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1910448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes44c690$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.614943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes29c689.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.919946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No63c669.84$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.871,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes44c568.37$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No57c538.09$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.3879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes41c479.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.531,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes44c479.39$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.9311540.9%47 W · 68 L-16.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes44c456.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008237.8%31 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No56c444$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3621548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes18c442$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.563336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed No68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.188662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes36c412.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Yes39c373.21$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.552450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc923…5a59backed No58c350$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes44c347.73$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes43c330.23$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1429549.5%47 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes11c320.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.210433.7%35 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes25c290$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.523926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes7c289.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1342324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No58c260.26$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2624349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed Yes42c236$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.121520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes44c230.66$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4915257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd8f…9a78backed Yes44c228.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes9c208.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.796645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Yes44c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Yes43c196$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.285650%28 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe096…9779backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x788f…8c1ebacked Yes44c185.3$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9413844.9%62 W · 76 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes42c149.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8de1…2d12backed Yes43c137.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed No57c135$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.052326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.8wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-56.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No59c124.13$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3958445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes23c120$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711019.1%21 W · 89 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.223353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.87653.9%41 W · 35 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes31c116.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7627141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4912…09ddbacked Yes43c115.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Yes44c114.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3912048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes42c114$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305827.6%16 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes43c110.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7117635.8%63 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Yes43c110$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.34757.4%27 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked No58c103.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.537843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e74…32c3backed Yes34c103.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No56c103$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7624044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…ff3dbacked Yes44c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+82%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348234.1%28 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4317955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212647.6%60 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No56c93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9242048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…83b1backed Yes44c92.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked No58c87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.549753.6%52 W · 45 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.65844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee8…eb4cbacked Yes33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes43c74.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326749.3%33 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308847.7%42 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No67c65.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No58c62.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.541,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e4a…6589backed Yes43c60.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.220840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.689152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.