Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98b530cf56b3562307fd7fcc0826349ec4861beb694d1af06a063842ef7798ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 8c | 10,784$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed Yes | 59c | 5,344$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 45c | 2,420$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.93 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 32c | 1,797$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 1,631$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 1,614$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 20c | 1,354$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.9 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 64c | 1,205$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 36c | 1,119$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.92 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,069$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 66c | 1,033$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 1,014$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 54c | 999$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.46 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 43c | 868.47$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.99 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 4c | 824.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 800$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 54c | 782.33$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.64 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 58c | 736.16$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 10c | 707.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 14c | 670.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 22c | 665.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.47 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 53c | 625.68$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.12 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Yes | 57c | 620.76$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 72c | 583.61$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 8c | 541.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 49c | 531.04$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.87 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 52c | 529.88$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 31c | 528$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…cc97backed Yes | 52c | 520.49$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…6e0abacked Yes | 80c | 515.82$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 6c | 499.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No | 57c | 499.94$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.91 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 53c | 485.79$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 66c | 478.6$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.54 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 31c | 462.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked No | 69c | 447$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 56c | 443.21$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…82eebacked Yes | 59c | 417.04$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.77 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 61c | 359.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 57c | 325.9$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 33c | 303.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 69c | 300$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…c12bbacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 13cpaid | +249.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 56c | 275.44$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 11c | 273.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20a…642fbacked Yes | 45c | 271.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…18cbbacked No | 16c | 268.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…43febacked No | 23c | 254.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec3…823bbacked Yes | 55c | 252.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 45c | 250.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.05 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 59c | 229.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef6c…8cc1backed No | 52c | 229.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…33fabacked Yes | 45c | 221.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked No | 64c | 220$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Yes | 46c | 217.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…a6f8backed Yes | 47c | 213.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 18c | 211.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…437dbacked No | 11c | 211.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 53c | 210.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c62fbacked Yes | 36c | 210$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…9ae5backed Yes | 45c | 201.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9370…107abacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…e595backed Yes | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 54c | 199.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…52ddbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc12…18a9backed Yes | 56c | 178.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 37c | 170.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Yes | 76c | 164$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa836…a03ebacked No | 32c | 158.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 63c | 158.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91f…e493backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…9b55backed Yes | 63c | 139.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked Yes | 47c | 130.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…fbf2backed Yes | 42c | 127.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa7…203fbacked Yes | 40c | 125.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe871…595ebacked Yes | 43c | 116.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 46c | 116$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 62c | 111.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Yes | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c84fbacked Yes | 77c | 110.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…177bbacked Yes | 65c | 108.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…9f29backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…069abacked Yes | 48c | 104.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…4c7abacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…2bddbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a75abacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…24ffbacked Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed No | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…e0debacked No | 56c | 93.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 26c | 90.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?this page
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands?No won
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?No won
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 10–15 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 15 seconds or longer?No won
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last less than 2 seconds?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.