Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedecb91294fed741493084e4f58a8d0c328abfc8cce27d9a0238d893ccabf2e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec3…823bbacked Yes | 5c | 9,480$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…14f5backed Yes | 0c | 5,090$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4229…c131backed Yes | 14c | 3,956$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…437dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,598$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce94…5d59backed Yes | 2c | 2,250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 9c | 1,968$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.64 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 18c | 1,454$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.59 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…1c04backed Yes | 1c | 1,406$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…2c12backed Yes | 5c | 1,270$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 1,205$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Yes | 65c | 1,187$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 75c | 1,175$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.09 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 14c | 899.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd66…2ec1backed Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 4c | 736.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 3c | 716.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Yes | 3c | 699.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 698.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 35c | 611.88$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 605.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 6c | 599.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…cc97backed Yes | 29c | 519.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…b0cfbacked Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 32c | 499.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 7c | 477.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 5c | 460$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 30c | 445.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 56c | 436.57$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc49…0daabacked Yes | 4c | 429.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 3c | 428.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…4edfbacked Yes | 24c | 418.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b6…c03cbacked Yes | 26c | 415.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…e595backed Yes | 22c | 399.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 14c | 372.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…33fabacked Yes | 32c | 370.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked Yes | 33c | 363.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 356.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 9c | 347.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 11c | 347.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 22c | 344.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac95…df88backed Yes | 27c | 340.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…5e40backed Yes | 15c | 328.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 62c | 322.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 69c | 307.24$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 33c | 303.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +332.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 13c | 298.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 12c | 296.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…66dfbacked Yes | 28c | 289.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 26c | 288.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…7778backed Yes | 35c | 266.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c6…42a6backed Yes | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 15c | 225.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 210.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 50c | 210.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…cbf7backed Yes | 10c | 207.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27dc…0102backed Yes | 20c | 200.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 79c | 193.18$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 6c | 183.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 78c | 182.06$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…4c7abacked Yes | 25c | 167.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 72c | 165.39$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Yes | 17c | 163.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…cbf9backed Yes | 7c | 162.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 63c | 161.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3316…bbaebacked Yes | 13c | 157.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…069abacked Yes | 26c | 154.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…43febacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 33c | 144.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 134.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b56…539dbacked Yes | 30c | 131.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09c…fe97backed Yes | 66c | 127.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 124$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 69c | 123.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Yes | 9c | 119.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Yes | 10c | 110.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc001…4b7cbacked Yes | 54c | 109.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…c12bbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 13cpaid | +249.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c84fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a75abacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…ed7dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1702…fe81backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…24ffbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…6fc0backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…7d38backed Yes | 30c | 98.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 16c | 97.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…5977backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed No | 67c | 89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2964…9d6abacked Yes | 21c | 82.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…2469backed Yes | 25c | 81.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd097…4432backed Yes | 29c | 78.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…afd6backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4d…44eabacked Yes | 17c | 70.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…7c3cbacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…7422backed Yes | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?this page
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands?No won
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?No won
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 10–15 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 15 seconds or longer?No won
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?Yes won
- Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last less than 2 seconds?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.