NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e6769eb73f1e7291ccbd0c7dfa10a9dc690eddd1090dea889575fd22ae559c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $608,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $632,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $608,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 807 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Blackhawks | 44c | 159,251$70,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,770.61 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…8e3ebacked Islanders | 56c | 54,950$30,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,178.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Islanders | 55c | 36,802$20,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,460.77 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 55c | 24,399$13,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,003.75 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Islanders | 54c | 18,567$10,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,541.27 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Blackhawks | 46c | 12,605$5,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,740.8 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Islanders | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 58c | 11,110$6,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.52 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Blackhawks | 42c | 9,804$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.79 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Blackhawks | 32c | 9,290$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.16 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Islanders | 75c | 8,721$6,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.81 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blackhawks | 44c | 8,328$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.79 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Blackhawks | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Islanders | 56c | 7,966$4,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.17 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528e…5c74backed Blackhawks | 30c | 7,737$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 55c | 6,088$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.47 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Islanders | 57c | 6,041$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.64 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blackhawks | 44c | 6,004$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.65 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Islanders | 62c | 5,366$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.09 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blackhawks | 46c | 5,234$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.68 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…4060backed Islanders | 56c | 5,198$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…ed39backed Blackhawks | 44c | 5,164$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blackhawks | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…dc41backed Blackhawks | 44c | 4,832$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…33cdbacked Islanders | 56c | 4,798$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks | 43c | 4,702$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.7 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks | 42c | 4,657$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.15 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Islanders | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Islanders | 56c | 4,393$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.92 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Islanders | 56c | 4,392$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Islanders | 56c | 4,375$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blackhawks | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Islanders | 55c | 3,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.2 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Blackhawks | 32c | 3,381$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.07 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Blackhawks | 30c | 3,332$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.31 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…952dbacked Islanders | 55c | 3,122$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Islanders | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Islanders | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Blackhawks | 42c | 2,907$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Islanders | 55c | 2,571$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.83 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Blackhawks | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks | 1c | 2,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Islanders | 72c | 2,427$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.56 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…d0bbbacked Islanders | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blackhawks | 42c | 2,244$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.94 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blackhawks | 23c | 2,198$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.37 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Islanders | 71c | 2,004$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Islanders | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Islanders | 55c | 1,907$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.95 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Islanders | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Islanders | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Blackhawks | 3c | 1,700$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Islanders | 53c | 1,656$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.1 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f0…f120backed Blackhawks | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafd…6df0backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,495$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…754bbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,495$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…8f47backed Islanders | 56c | 1,494$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2441…ac6dbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 1,494$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…b64fbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,493$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…cf32backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,493$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…f540backed Islanders | 56c | 1,492$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…e05bbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 1,492$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…5d8fbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,492$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.48 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8463…25d5backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,492$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…5d60backed Islanders | 56c | 1,491$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…716cbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 1,491$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Islanders | 57c | 1,489$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.44 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…8e36backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,484$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5f…0c77backed Islanders | 56c | 1,484$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076a…a2a5backed Islanders | 56c | 1,483$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…9b07backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,483$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f691backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,483$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea7…5df2backed Islanders | 56c | 1,483$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…c2a9backed Islanders | 56c | 1,482$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…6266backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,482$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3484…95d1backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,475$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…742abacked Islanders | 56c | 1,475$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks | 43c | 1,474$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.97 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…075bbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,473$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…c6bdbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 1,473$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…116bbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,469$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…e1d1backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,469$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…2722backed Islanders | 56c | 1,464$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…6ca4backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,464$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc555…c418backed Islanders | 56c | 1,454$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077b…0f61backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,454$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9441…37a4backed Islanders | 56c | 1,450$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…8ebbbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 1,450$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda11…e046backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,448$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…ea61backed Islanders | 56c | 1,448$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…4d2abacked Islanders | 56c | 1,440$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdae…09efbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 1,440$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…e2c6backed Islanders | 56c | 1,436$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…0139backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,436$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…9dcdbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 1,435$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d89…e328backed Islanders | 56c | 1,435$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…94b8backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,434$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…c256backed Islanders | 56c | 1,434$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Blackhawksthis page
- Islanders vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.