NHL · resolved market
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e04e05294ede01831131eb29363b4e364d0ac46c7b79bd777b2007c94f5c66e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Islanders, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 35c | 4,563$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.12 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Blackhawks | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Blackhawks | 66c | 1,939$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.09 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Islanders | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Blackhawks | 67c | 174$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blackhawks | 68c | 154.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Blackhawks | 68c | 147.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Islanders | 35c | 130.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders | 32c | 129.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Islanders | 33c | 128$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Islanders | 33c | 124$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Islanders | 33c | 116$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Islanders | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 77c | 96.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Blackhawks | 67c | 96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…3e86backed Blackhawks | 66c | 68.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Islanders | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders | 33c | 65.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Blackhawks | 77c | 61.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Blackhawks | 61c | 60.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Blackhawks | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Islanders | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Islanders | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blackhawks | 65c | 45.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Islanders | 32c | 44.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Blackhawks | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Islanders | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Blackhawks | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Islanders | 38c | 37.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Blackhawks | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Blackhawks | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Islanders | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Islanders | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Blackhawks | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Blackhawks | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Blackhawks | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Blackhawks | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Blackhawks | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Blackhawks | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Blackhawks | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Blackhawks | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blackhawks | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb41…3c9bbacked Blackhawks | 77c | 20.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Blackhawks | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Blackhawks | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Blackhawks | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Blackhawks | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Blackhawks | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Blackhawks | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Blackhawks | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blackhawks | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)this page
- Islanders vs. BlackhawksIslanders won
- Islanders vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.