NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd9b6c40c7f2c610d9dcb4924c21e6dd7e109f0641cfa3d047f27b019c79c589
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.97 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 48c | 2,364$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.15 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.84 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 1,764$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.82 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 1,333$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 46c | 1,170$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.96 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 983.1$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.29 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 48c | 769.8$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.3 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 36c | 728$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.91 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 53c | 679.25$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 474.44$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Over | 54c | 370.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 349.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.93 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Under | 50c | 319.8$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…c697backed Over | 70c | 284.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 284.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 269.8$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 52c | 243$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 54c | 200.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Under | 48c | 137.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 48c | 102$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 32.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c27…b3c6backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 26.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5this page
- Islanders vs. BlackhawksIslanders won
- Islanders vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.