TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c24,799$11,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,828.2430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No37c9,364$3,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,427.081,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No51c7,091$3,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,592.7412648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c6,298$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.813,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No53c4,714$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.799459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No33c3,499$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.64,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes48c3,333$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.278243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d80…cd30backed Yes80c3,129$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.46862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Yes47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.662356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No1c1,961$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.764621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5779…489fbacked Yes74c1,591$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No53c1,397$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.6821957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No54c1,332$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.7222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No52c1,246$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.926839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No45c1,103$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.8574657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No52c999.98$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.993240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes75c777.03$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.492835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4eb…5857backed Yes47c711.63$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.632030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No51c519.92$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7835054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes74c519.23$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4937039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes48c517.15$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.9211056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.27844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No54c479.98$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5914244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No52c479$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0823250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes76c461.13$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1323727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes76c456$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.446672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6642…31cdbacked Yes47c426.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-46.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No54c420$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.831751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes49c411.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.482128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No52c410.4$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.419545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No55c395.2$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4327652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No49c376.65$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.861464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…ccc2backed Yes45c371.11$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.11933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed No39c347.1$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.42462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34d6…18afbacked Yes72c321.86$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes45c307.04$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.197534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No36c292.86$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1325248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No54c240$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.643255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No54c240$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.621849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No54c230.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6314950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No52c219.01$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.119652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes53c218.64$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.232536%9 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked No33c217.62$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.632065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes77c215.48$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1923252.6%122 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc133…81ebbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes47c212.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1720047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No54c210$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.417648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No51c209.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.129053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fe…7365backed Yes49c205.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.741735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd42b…dac8backed Yes49c204.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.142152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+78.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.086139.3%24 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed Yes76c183.93$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.633941%16 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.229053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9918152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No25c177.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8921842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x947f…1543backed Yes46c172.83$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Yes49c163.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.782955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Yes48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.257844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No28c156.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7529946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No52c153.56$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1320652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No52c150.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4779133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes69c143.01$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.519134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.145056%28 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.456845.6%31 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.89247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.819750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.811448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.69945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.620250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.816151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.819951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.820949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No51c119.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.211346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No51c119.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1918551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No53c116.38$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6824047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1117643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes46c107.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8419130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382030%6 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes79c105.26$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.264862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1716250.6%82 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92a5…eb80backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x897d…90c9backed Yes50c100.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.022846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558341%34 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5219652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5611559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5662258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.58241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8048…f48dbacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+117.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No48c95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.684334.9%15 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No52c92.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0714348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No54c91.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3118852.7%99 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed No54c88.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed No24c85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.