La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2025-12-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5445d1bb85bf91c2f4b23491b46b626020ea677b54e1f1c315a446750db08e20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 1,135$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.43 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 1,020$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 911$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.63 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 410.13$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked Yes | 29c | 350.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 8c | 237.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 157.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 26c | 144$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 8c | 134.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 25c | 113.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 68c | 98.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 67c | 89.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 82.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 69c | 61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Yes | 24c | 44.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed No | 76c | 32.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed No | 76c | 30.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed No | 75c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…7292backed No | 75c | 22.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…d705backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 72c | 16.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2025-12-16?this page
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.