Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4edff3afde845b199a3c03cebbff31a8301b71cee4f57f45c7d2c9d473f298
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 50c | 35,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,500 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 50c | 20,001$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 55c | 20,000$10,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,944.96 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 16,959$8,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,894.04 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 44c | 13,534$6,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,512.99 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 47c | 13,082$6,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,931.05 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 11,030$5,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,453.41 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200.01 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 52c | 9,547$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 49c | 8,890$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 7,951$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.05 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 50c | 7,582$3,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.22 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 47c | 7,520$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5027…1a6fbacked Yes | 51c | 7,000$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 6,099$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.33 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 49c | 5,231$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.81 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 49c | 5,201$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.65 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 53c | 4,500$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…0c07backed Yes | 51c | 3,880$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 54c | 3,405$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.31 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 52c | 3,077$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.91 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e7…c2d9backed No | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 53c | 2,584$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 50c | 2,399$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.03 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 48c | 2,103$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.82 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…0119backed No | 47c | 2,020$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…aa61backed Yes | 50c | 1,994$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 49c | 1,960$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…997fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,880$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…6925backed No | 47c | 1,880$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…99e4backed Yes | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 49c | 1,581$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.26 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…2edfbacked Yes | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 54c | 1,491$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 72c | 1,391$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.15 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3d…f1e6backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 1,305$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.98 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…c5e1backed No | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Yes | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…7b6fbacked No | 47c | 1,242$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114c…ff77backed Yes | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,154$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.39 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed No | 47c | 1,119$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.33 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.98 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 46c | 1,082$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.06 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa86…7414backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…40f4backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked Yes | 53c | 999.29$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…9a70backed Yes | 52c | 979.48$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…5fb5backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 54c | 891.68$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 56c | 872.24$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.69 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 52c | 850$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…9abfbacked Yes | 54c | 845$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 53c | 748.08$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe279…42c5backed No | 47c | 720$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a5…6895backed No | 48c | 720$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 47c | 717$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 32c | 630.92$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.89 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 48c | 599.96$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 46c | 584.74$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +77%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 53c | 570$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes | 54c | 565.43$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…3cadbacked No | 48c | 550$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 47c | 542.19$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.53 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…8635backed Yes | 53c | 520$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…c529backed No | 47c | 515$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…328abacked Yes | 54c | 507.39$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…feabbacked Yes | 51c | 486.27$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…d67abacked Yes | 53c | 471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…effcbacked Yes | 53c | 452$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…09e1backed Yes | 53c | 420$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9098…8114backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 25c | 391.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991c…5f1bbacked Yes | 52c | 385$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec16…73ebbacked Yes | 53c | 376.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 54c | 372.31$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…9407backed Yes | 55c | 350.35$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 48c | 348.95$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.78 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 54c | 344.93$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9062…0b9abacked Yes | 52c | 335$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…26b2backed Yes | 52c | 335$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 51c | 329.41$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…fdb2backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…56f1backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 51c | 299.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.03 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…c27ebacked Yes | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?Yes won
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.