Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b8b6d50648c596dc9ee347296c182bf22ff51cbae3d2b7fc085f3fa972cafbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 26c | 57,431$14,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,527.59 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 21c | 19,999$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,799.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 77c | 19,905$15,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,349.56 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 74c | 17,221$12,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,743.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -62%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 76c | 17,032$12,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,944.14 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 24c | 16,804$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,771.05 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 76c | 13,219$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 11,321$5,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,964.81 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 72c | 8,226$5,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,961.72 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 74c | 5,656$4,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.54 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 26c | 3,874$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.95 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…5fb5backed Yes | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 62c | 3,286$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.37 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 22c | 2,179$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.81 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 2,159$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.52 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…57bbbacked Yes | 79c | 2,071$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 26c | 1,900$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 79c | 1,646$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,599$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.58 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 60c | 1,549$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.92 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Yes | 77c | 1,456$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e7…c2d9backed No | 22c | 1,411$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,275$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.11 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 20c | 1,111$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 35c | 1,090$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.97 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a5…6895backed Yes | 78c | 1,070$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 15c | 1,015$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.85 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 21c | 999.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.98 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 39c | 998.9$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.81 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 57c | 960.69$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.64 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 64c | 935.3$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.56 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 75c | 934.93$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 40c | 842.14$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.37 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Yes | 79c | 759.49$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes | 22c | 707.44$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…03aebacked Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 26c | 617.38$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.13 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 26c | 600.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.55 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 534.65$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Yes | 79c | 530.24$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 49c | 500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 24c | 499.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.98 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e84…858fbacked No | 22c | 496$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…d1d0backed No | 22c | 490$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 49c | 472.53$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.48 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 51c | 470.37$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.06 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 22c | 409.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 21c | 409.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.57 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 31c | 398.89$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.81 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…450abacked Yes | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 23c | 382.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.26 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Yes | 79c | 381.37$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 21c | 364.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.26 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 23c | 360$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 74c | 352.9$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.09 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…503abacked Yes | 78c | 341$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 20c | 323.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 79c | 320$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 75c | 319.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…9d2cbacked Yes | 79c | 318.47$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 73c | 311$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.03 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 79c | 305.06$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed No | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Yes | 77c | 258.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432c…17debacked Yes | 78c | 249$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502f…efaabacked Yes | 78c | 247$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…ca29backed Yes | 78c | 245$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840f…95a9backed Yes | 78c | 245$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 24c | 239.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.88 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 23c | 239.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes | 74c | 235.76$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Yes | 77c | 220$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd28d…c9c6backed Yes | 41c | 205.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 79c | 202.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 79c | 200$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 56c | 192.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…7eb1backed No | 11c | 188.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +585.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 22c | 184.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.13 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 55c | 182.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 56c | 178.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 24c | 170$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 20c | 166$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 75c | 160$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 78c | 155.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…fa80backed Yes | 79c | 153.48$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 25c | 152$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 25c | 151.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kuopion PS win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.