Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Kuopion PS win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24f2d69a0cd3c239688088e8adade0002441592e26e1b50bde89ae42c0695cff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 2,572$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.3 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,144$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.35 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 1,477$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Yes | 2c | 1,400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,333$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…3f97backed Yes | 4c | 1,328$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 1,304$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.53 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 51c | 1,260$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.77 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…2a82backed Yes | 6c | 932.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…6960backed Yes | 2c | 929.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 6c | 923.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 67c | 867.18$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.02 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked No | 59c | 844.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 7c | 815.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 7c | 690$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 4c | 637.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 7c | 599.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 63c | 456.11$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.43 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked No | 56c | 432$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 21c | 368$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 7c | 290.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 5c | 275.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Yes | 39c | 269.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 58c | 264.35$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 77c | 252.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 17c | 250.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 7c | 202.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +312.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 52c | 192.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 54c | 161$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 56c | 160.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 144.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 49c | 40.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d5…9585backed Yes | 49c | 30.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…94e1backed Yes | 65c | 30.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed39…f1f5backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…7556backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.45per pick | 45cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kuopion PS win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.