Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22e12c5fa2994a0561425a8daef65130e9f8de2199fc64f0eb3ac5c73c4541b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 18,051$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,162.34 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 4,941$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.76 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 16c | 4,256$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.55 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 56c | 3,136$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.82 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 1,615$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.34 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 23c | 1,500$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.39 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 60c | 1,269$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.62 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 1,144$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.52 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,064$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.7 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…40e1backed Yes | 16c | 920$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 40c | 734.52$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.81 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 49c | 713.96$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.57 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 16c | 678.55$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.05 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 17c | 674.23$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.61 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 58c | 673.88$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 50c | 653.54$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.82 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 17c | 618.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.94 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 68c | 438.4$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.64 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 56c | 430$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 44c | 425.5$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 61c | 400$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.4 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 35c | 271.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.43 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 13c | 259$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.33 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 59c | 256.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…42d0backed Yes | 62c | 228$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 184$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 69c | 175$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 37c | 173.33$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 58c | 172.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 23c | 170$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 44c | 99.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…b32cbacked Yes | 79c | 96.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 16c | 85.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes | 61c | 76.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed No | 68c | 65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…bef1backed Yes | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…9e7cbacked Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d5…9585backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 31c | 38.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked No | 65c | 26.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Yes | 74c | 18.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?No won
- Will Kuopion PS win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.