Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa18f02dbe7fe6c2e0cd11e1718dc2b771d831b5a705f54a90fb323e5497c4906
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 446.51$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 304$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.88 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 64c | 299$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 19c | 289.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 38c | 214.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 61c | 202$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.87 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 45c | 199.78$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 197.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…30d5backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…f5bdbacked Over | 27c | 134.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 48c | 123.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 102.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 36c | 93.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Under | 45c | 85.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Over | 63c | 79.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 78.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 54c | 64.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Over | 63c | 63.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 43c | 50.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 37c | 43.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 31.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…99bebacked Over | 64c | 31.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…402bbacked Over | 58c | 24.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b6…b727backed Over | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.