Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7594696b6ee8337e4fdc8ac40e2f00e2476f60a10d19b5abeacdd61ae92a33d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 3,473$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 71c | 1,407$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.69 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 16c | 856.3$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.71 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 15c | 650.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 15c | 334$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 312.06$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under | 24c | 285.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +862.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Under | 35c | 219.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 42c | 163.39$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 151.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 20c | 150.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Under | 40c | 138.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 42c | 120$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 17c | 117.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 38c | 105.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 16c | 79.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 23c | 44.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.