TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No51c8,985$4,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,612.3712839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c7,143$2,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,648.321,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes48c4,602$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.833857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes72c3,140$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.7462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes71c2,668$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.5971140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes48c2,528$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.396648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8219055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No9c1,830$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No2c1,454$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No39c1,100$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4281136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No4c1,063$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.641,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes49c1,018$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.689458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No26c999.87$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No52c990$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.85040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No50c918.91$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.4629949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No52c883$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.1617043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes49c782$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.824841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes48c647.91$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.9123250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes48c633.37$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes49c509.1$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No51c499.94$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Yes49c489.8$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49a5…b220backed Yes49c410$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes49c365$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1524044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Yes48c355.26$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.111442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes49c342.26$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No28c256.57$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.772015%3 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Yes49c214.29$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3326550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+65.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Yes49c200.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.191283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+58.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6250…8707backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10427049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No51c195.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.563860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d83…8eb4backed Yes74c178.89$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.637100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5380…ddb2backed Yes73c174.66$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e8…9d12backed Yes49c166$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.27955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes47c138.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.32347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cc2…afcdbacked No52c128$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Yes48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Yes73c122.88$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.451942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x754f…ee9ebacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5131049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked No52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No52c96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.923360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e60…f42cbacked Yes49c92.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.932560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes49c91.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8424051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes49c81.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.846233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae3…9192backed No29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407746.8%36 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.436344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f6…3149backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+182.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes49c63.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.277145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes49c63.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.279346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes77c55.24$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6135037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No51c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2518245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Yes49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Yes49c48.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b1…799abacked No52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes48c47.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.921533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945e…353dbacked No51c46.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96e6…8623backed Yes49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b3…df8bbacked Yes49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf184…067bbacked Yes49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9434…ef42backed Yes49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d5…c5b6backed Yes49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…d4aabacked Yes49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf8f…950bbacked Yes49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e10…7247backed Yes49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3005…cd7ebacked Yes49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No51c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9326845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…51dabacked Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf4…d85fbacked Yes74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…1685backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd745…223abacked No52c38.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-67.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…92d5backed No52c37.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204139%16 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe1…1a78backed No40c37.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152548%12 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bd…68c4backed Yes49c36.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0058…7fb6backed Yes58c36.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cc…06e8backed No51c35.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.689467%63 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Yes49c34.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.633348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc561…410fbacked No52c34.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed Yes48c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.685064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd396…2870backed No52c32.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes47c31.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.676342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe547…654cbacked Yes49c31.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.