Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70a9e7905941a344eeb1b5a5b681795cc5565b226196ef3dd0014a05bff58781
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 0c | 48,101$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 70c | 7,959$5,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.78 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 6,010$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.47 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 70c | 5,640$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.6 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 5,612$3,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.64 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 3,600$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,945$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 70c | 2,444$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.29 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 2,063$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.77 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,557$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.61 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 30c | 899.99$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.23 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 69c | 893.81$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 70cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 30c | 667.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.24 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…925dbacked Yes | 25c | 587.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 21c | 518.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed No | 70c | 462$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 461.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 31c | 279.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 214.2$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 17c | 207$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 152.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 134.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 73c | 92.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 69c | 90.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 70c | 84.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 70c | 71.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 20c | 71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…0a7bbacked Yes | 30c | 69.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 30c | 64.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938b…46c0backed Yes | 31c | 60.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes | 30c | 58.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…8eb4backed No | 72c | 49.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 78c | 48.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed Yes | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 43.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 70c | 37.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked Yes | 30c | 34.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Yes | 31c | 34.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 70c | 26.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…a60fbacked No | 70c | 22.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…dc0cbacked No | 70c | 19.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 69c | 19.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8d…d46cbacked No | 70c | 18.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed No | 70c | 16.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?this page
- Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will FC Lorient win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.