Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6729aedbd93cde10bf99f3133efb45d11ea67333b13690cd8e314ca151b7591f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.99 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 2,923$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.9 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 39c | 1,245$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.51 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.02 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 967.58$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.27 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 60c | 828.05$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.22 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 41c | 488.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 62c | 207$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 157.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 61c | 154.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 36c | 147.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Over | 42c | 132.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 59c | 115$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 40c | 101.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 48c | 79.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed Over | 29c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 42c | 30.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…1f67backed Over | 41c | 29.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Over | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce81…ac47backed Under | 59c | 24.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316d…7b32backed Under | 59c | 24.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 22.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.