Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa51b02f4c54d2865280e02e8a0c81a747f5fbf7e5e98b357ad1bff12156e9db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Under | 36c | 8,524$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 5,025$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 23c | 3,437$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.46 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 2,530$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.65 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 69c | 1,783$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.61 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 1,227$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.41 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 77c | 1,126$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.06 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 77c | 909.25$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.13 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 29c | 793.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.37 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 20c | 430$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 145.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 68c | 130$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 77c | 87.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 66c | 73.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 74c | 57.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…6633backed Over | 77c | 31.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa62…4dccbacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…effdbacked Over | 72c | 26.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 69c | 23.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Over | 66c | 22.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6d…8601backed Over | 65c | 18.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Over | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.