Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3499df2ed5f6a32e7f86837cbca0b64ca09dfa529d89059aed1759232b94a33e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $670,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $702,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 45c | 78,891$35,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,620.87 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 58c | 63,145$36,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,404.8 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 57c | 59,957$34,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,430.24 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 65c | 51,376$33,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,472.95 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…a3a1backed Yes | 55c | 50,173$27,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,595.12 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,000 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 41,407$10,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,046.19 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,399.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 39,589$17,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,197.55 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 33,674$20,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,182.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 55c | 30,137$16,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,623.79 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 28,665$8,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,601.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 44c | 23,675$10,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,257.74 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 58c | 21,003$12,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,195.32 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed No | 45c | 18,242$8,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,032.96 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…f3f2backed Yes | 0c | 14,970$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed No | 43c | 10,558$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,978.18 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 44c | 10,442$4,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,847.49 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed No | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.96 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0402…4e41backed Yes | 56c | 8,760$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 43c | 7,615$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,371.1 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 43c | 7,002$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.57 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 6,721$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.43 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed No | 42c | 6,435$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.22 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 45c | 6,231$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.22 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.93 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 58c | 5,193$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed No | 42c | 5,060$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 5,022$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.1 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.98 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.96 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 4c | 4,725$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,553.84 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…a182backed No | 42c | 3,941$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.43 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac8…986fbacked Yes | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 9c | 3,226$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.99 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 58c | 3,197$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.33 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.97 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 41c | 2,882$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.75 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 76c | 2,841$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.31 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 41c | 2,803$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.78 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 41c | 2,665$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.5 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 42c | 2,586$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.86 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 2,560$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.26 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked No | 42c | 2,452$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.38 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 14c | 2,418$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.11 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5aa…40ddbacked Yes | 58c | 2,414$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 56c | 2,078$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.94 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…e672backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.96 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.94 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked No | 42c | 1,910$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.11 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 58c | 1,897$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked No | 44c | 1,843$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.18 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked No | 44c | 1,833$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.13 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 43c | 1,807$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.73 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 58c | 1,671$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.06 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked No | 43c | 1,547$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.51 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 2c | 1,537$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.32 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked No | 43c | 1,527$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.6 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac2b…f419backed No | 35c | 1,507$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.62 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 32c | 1,456$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed No | 43c | 1,430$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.79 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,430$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.48 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Yes | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…5c01backed No | 42c | 1,391$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.04 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 42c | 1,317$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.67 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 43c | 1,309$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.68 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 45c | 1,285$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.56 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…76d3backed No | 43c | 1,277$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.79 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7940…47e7backed No | 43c | 1,212$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.94 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.9 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 58c | 1,196$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.7 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 2c | 1,073$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.65 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 1,052$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.11 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 45c | 1,042$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.22 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 58c | 1,041$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 56c | 1,038$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.44 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed No | 3c | 1,036$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.73 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked No | 43c | 1,007$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.98 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacb…ccc7backed Yes | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 41c | 999.9$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.94 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…231dbacked No | 43c | 999$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.43 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed No | 44c | 957.5$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.2 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 56c | 910.71$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 56c | 892.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…fd5abacked Yes | 57c | 855.75$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9903backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…2431backed Yes | 58c | 767.21$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 763.15$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.29 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 2c | 741.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.33 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal leading at halftime?this page
- DR Congo leading at halftime?No won
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.