Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f319bf31b6c6a2558e8cc796434368d81f857974a2318ca995a3c631d5ec67c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0154…15a8backed No | 67c | 19,362$13,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,344.13 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 19,034$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.22 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…1782backed Yes | 0c | 15,934$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 1cpaid | +580.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…d4c0backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 40c | 11,182$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.19 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 53c | 10,602$5,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,658.41 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 50c | 8,600$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 2c | 5,878$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.40per pick | 15cpaid | +556.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6a42…d2dbbacked Yes | 2c | 4,660$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bc…1dabbacked Yes | 2c | 4,449$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d68…5027backed Yes | 4c | 4,417$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 3c | 3,952$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…78c9backed Yes | 2c | 3,664$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,570$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 14c | 2,942$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 1c | 2,750$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 32c | 2,644$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.82 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 1c | 2,625$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…1245backed Yes | 1c | 2,490$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 9cpaid | +471.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 65c | 2,479$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.97 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…410bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +475.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…ef9abacked No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc148…ff78backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…fff4backed Yes | 3c | 1,838$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +768.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5831…3f6cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,800$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…299fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,732$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f4…71a8backed Yes | 1c | 1,714$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 2c | 1,700$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,305$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Yes | 53c | 1,137$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…792bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,093$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 76c | 1,036$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 2c | 1,010$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd434…b5debacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…5ef3backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed No | 71c | 935.56$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…2184backed Yes | 3c | 816.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…304bbacked Yes | 1c | 770$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…75fbbacked Yes | 2c | 700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 33c | 681.09$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.09 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…f101backed Yes | 3c | 676.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988a…cfeebacked Yes | 3c | 626.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 40c | 615.12$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 46c | 605$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c6…82e6backed Yes | 4c | 583.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48bc…040ebacked Yes | 2c | 557.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Yes | 30c | 550$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65e7…89ffbacked Yes | 20c | 500.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 46c | 500$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.07 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed Yes | 60c | 483.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.38 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…7e06backed Yes | 13c | 470$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…d19dbacked Yes | 2c | 447.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 2c | 421.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d17…a1b3backed No | 51c | 388.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 60c | 350$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.5 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f3…bbbebacked Yes | 5c | 338.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1542backed No | 58c | 334.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 63c | 331.71$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…4457backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 51c | 299.92$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes | 37c | 270.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6244…4fffbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 70c | 241.97$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…eeb1backed No | 51c | 237.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 46c | 217.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…6ebfbacked Yes | 45c | 200.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…5e96backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…90efbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e38…a018backed No | 77c | 186.39$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…ff57backed No | 67c | 181.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…9b41backed Yes | 9c | 170$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…8ef9backed No | 76c | 169.8$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…3537backed No | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…4243backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302d…cd3fbacked No | 61c | 148.65$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed No | 58c | 140.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 9c | 132.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400c…781ebacked Yes | 37c | 132.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe924…f68abacked Yes | 39c | 128.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked No | 63c | 126.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…a756backed Yes | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…c3d7backed Yes | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed Yes | 33c | 111.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed Yes | 38c | 109.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…0568backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…6c07backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…2633backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…8670backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f061backed No | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 26-1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.