Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ca92a253e5114f05a61772c81598f33ea5ebff5db819fc90af92fb5ef732a72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $468,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 8c | 34,357$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,685.12 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 78c | 18,188$14,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,113.27 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 29c | 14,812$4,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,455.46 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 14c | 9,117$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.85 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 7c | 7,109$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,609.17 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 80c | 6,702$5,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,359.75 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 9c | 6,345$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,785.14 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…fb2ebacked No | 0c | 6,169$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…e543backed Yes | 20c | 5,224$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +397.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…15a8backed Yes | 50c | 4,926$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.13 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x222f…8e2dbacked Yes | 16c | 4,493$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +301.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 8c | 4,446$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.46 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…21bfbacked Yes | 19c | 4,278$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +987.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 29c | 4,220$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.05 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…1223backed Yes | 62c | 4,170$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed Yes | 65c | 3,349$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 3,303$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.99 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 8c | 2,573$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.41 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…0791backed Yes | 12c | 2,443$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +315.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 11c | 2,411$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.45 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 69c | 2,300$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 7c | 2,300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.40per pick | 15cpaid | +556.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…7112backed Yes | 7c | 1,801$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.79 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…3a4ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 6c | 1,539$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,439.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1b…63fdbacked No | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 34c | 1,272$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.34 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044d…71fabacked Yes | 8c | 1,201$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +294%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 20c | 1,188$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.01 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 9c | 1,156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.13 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 70c | 1,000$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.97 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +270.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4120…153dbacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +681.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…a37bbacked Yes | 45c | 988.65$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 42c | 975.6$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 44c | 947.62$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.23 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 3c | 937.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.47 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked No | 38c | 900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.3 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 8c | 883.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.75 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 839.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.02 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb646…0cf9backed Yes | 35c | 782.35$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.57 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6361backed No | 17c | 750$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…93c7backed No | 63c | 721.36$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.98 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 26c | 704.41$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.86 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…31fcbacked No | 71c | 664.46$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…5861backed Yes | 9c | 647.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +465.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Yes | 7c | 646.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.86 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 16c | 645.6$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.78 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +346.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde21…7edbbacked Yes | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 9c | 600$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.9 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…4001backed Yes | 18c | 561.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked No | 70c | 541.54$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd517…5f34backed Yes | 41c | 518.62$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +236.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 7c | 509.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.73 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 507.51$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.08 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…4457backed Yes | 48c | 500$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…1782backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 1cpaid | +580.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 4c | 499.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.21 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…4eeabacked Yes | 21c | 433.85$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked No | 68c | 426.1$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.28 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 24c | 409.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 19c | 394.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.7 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…e679backed Yes | 12c | 392.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.66per pick | 9cpaid | +641.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…0e4cbacked No | 57c | 383$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…c689backed Yes | 18c | 378.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 58c | 371.42$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.61 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…75ffbacked Yes | 15c | 365.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 45c | 335.08$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…9c16backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 29c | 293.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.71 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…d768backed Yes | 5c | 280.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.72 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…1245backed Yes | 11c | 279.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 9cpaid | +471.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…b0a3backed Yes | 21c | 245.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 15cpaid | +125%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 35c | 240.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…7948backed No | 60c | 231.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.8wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4896…fe47backed Yes | 7c | 227.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…15babacked Yes | 44c | 225.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48eb…4addbacked Yes | 7c | 211.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.74 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +6.1wins | +0.61per pick | 29cpaid | +431.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…27f8backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…01ccbacked No | 57c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…cf28backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed Yes | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…026dbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Yes | 55c | 180.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 44c | 173.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…cba8backed Yes | 38c | 167.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5324…cc22backed Yes | 60c | 166.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 36cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed No | 17c | 149.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 12c | 145.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +549.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fe…6382backed Yes | 15c | 140$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +586.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…b012backed Yes | 16c | 139$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +518.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb65…3115backed Yes | 7c | 138$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…6342backed Yes | 15c | 131$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +549.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…5240backed Yes | 16c | 123$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +528.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e1fdbacked Yes | 12c | 120.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +120%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…3728backed No | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 January 26-1?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 26-1?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 26-1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.