Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd961ed47b140e2fe3400bcfb798fa53c2150058d41fdff00e94a840a8cb58426
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 5,082$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.52 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 71c | 2,046$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.92 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 1,823$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.64 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 1,538$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.04 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…0969backed Over | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 27c | 1,226$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.82 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 23c | 1,001$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 11c | 518.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Over | 71c | 391.06$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 70c | 340.71$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 29c | 336.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Over | 69c | 242.38$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 11c | 181.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…b9a7backed Under | 31c | 180.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 16c | 152.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 70c | 152$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 69c | 144.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 75c | 133.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…9b6bbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…1539backed Under | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 30c | 94.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8651…2465backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 67c | 46.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Over | 70c | 35.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…7e6abacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa989…0108backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…2646backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 79c | 12.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.