TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c2,691$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.2193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c2,579$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.342,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Under80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c1,812$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.511,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under2c1,477$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.341118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick2cpaid+1,048.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under3c1,400$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+126%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Under50c1,300$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.459440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over20c1,250$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.355935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over21c1,190$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c1,006$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.9491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over40c960.77$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under73c884.62$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.622755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over65c882.11$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.493565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over25c804.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b79…6a80backed Under56c739.99$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed Over68c588.63$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over57c579.24$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3291127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over57c441.1$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.993860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over39c354.05$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.26043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over46c322$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.012045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over65c308.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over33c301$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2215041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under10c300$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+275%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under10c300$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701926.3%5 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick9cpaid+454.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6596…b50bbacked Under80c266.2$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.24988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over63c261.9$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1658065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under34c255.48$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7931051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over52c236.54$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over40c225.85$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.344045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over64c218.75$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14018055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441668.8%11 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over21c195.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3438739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over60c181.53$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9221650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010330.1%31 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over46c163.07$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3113648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+129.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under32c155.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.616340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over31c147.65$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under65c140.02$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.557462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over27c138.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.481776.5%13 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.35per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under64c130$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.58861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over56c110.71$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d59…31dcbacked Under68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under53c96.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7714845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over43c85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7515847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over41c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.428458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1646047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over41c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.46956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over32c79.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3711460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82e6…519fbacked Over56c78.62$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+64.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over44c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.83956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Over61c67.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ded…c5c5backed Over23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over25c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under77c64.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9333144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over46c63.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.071978.9%15 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.33per pick46cpaid+105.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over36c59.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.581770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+99%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over22c59.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134727.7%13 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72e7…ef21backed Under63c55.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over32c54.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.492740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Over23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under57c44.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9911144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over40c40.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.125740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacd8…6633backed Over34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96d4…994cbacked Over33c38.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under56c36.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4136852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Under65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef20…2646backed Over65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52080%16 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed Under78c28.09$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.181250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over57c26.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.972263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Over48c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.562152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over51c19.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.122839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.