TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,527 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c15,401$8,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,148.752,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over43c5,306$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,024.5540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c4,421$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.571,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7103948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under57c2,001$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.5720544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over43c1,965$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.0516046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under57c1,800$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.994748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c1,056$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.8893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under57c999.98$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.996839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4645530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over41c740.49$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4375935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over43c726.02$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.833638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over44c709.64$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.421650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.827552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under40c625.5$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under50c600.1$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over66c589.7$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under3c550.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+126%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c507.12$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.3298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over44c488.64$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.6411268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under59c460.89$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2708757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over43c372.09$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.096043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf80…25c3backed Over45c346.24$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under56c345.37$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4137250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over43c326.63$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.181050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over59c323.69$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5611429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.564845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c221.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9134553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161668.8%11 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under45c158$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.98861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over42c148.46$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.19937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over42c125.34$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.736630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Over65c123.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.086850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc34…799dbacked Over43c122.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0513142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0514231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under58c117.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2815648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.285147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3426747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c89.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under57c87.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9933144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under40c85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-77.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over35c70$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.54524.4%11 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Over44c64.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.271729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over64c62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5613648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.236852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.228458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over65c58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.312422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under57c56.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4165254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over43c56.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.47254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over44c54.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.552556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over43c51.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.361770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+99%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over41c48.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.693647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa793…1776backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5111348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.154551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4512946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd6…5f03backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+87.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82e6…519fbacked Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+64.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over44c43.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.181866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2f9…3f4fbacked Over41c41.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under38c41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5846742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f4…b728backed Under35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.811460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under56c39.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.399240.2%37 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under60c38.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.059750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f91…42bbbacked Over43c38.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over44c37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.725740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over54c36.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6211144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5acf…b718backed Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbc8…d6f1backed Over44c34.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over43c32.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.56977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+53.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e91…ffdfbacked Under61c31.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Over64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252875%21 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under38c31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7815041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under54c30.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5124955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over61c30.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9614553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.15145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x421a…51a3backed Under57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-63.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under56c29.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7438547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb492…ebacbacked Under57c28.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d4…e370backed Under58c27.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over38c27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.746842.6%29 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Over43c25.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.582157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.056055%33 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e7e…35b0backed Over44c23.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over43c23.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.263658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.