Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1293fb30715b08f0983efc749fb1017b0542adc242591f46c0ba7c485b01c06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 2,260$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.64 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,249$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.78 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 48c | 654.17$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 52c | 270.3$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 30c | 260$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…25c3backed Yes | 48c | 251.48$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 191.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…30d5backed No | 55c | 182.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 161.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 159.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 143.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…4e25backed Yes | 48c | 104.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Yes | 24c | 83.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 66c | 48.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 45.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa03d…7e2bbacked Yes | 48c | 38.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 52c | 35.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed No | 75c | 26.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- US Cremonese vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Cremonese vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.