South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefc4cdaa2c8b00859fa8ae4fd51ed5e1fe2b4ad3a07e91e199f25401839242f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 7,666$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 6,424$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,260.02 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 50c | 5,598$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.22 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 51c | 4,256$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.34 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 69c | 2,276$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.68 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 2,226$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.18 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 2,134$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 21c | 1,702$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.91 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,584$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.22 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.97 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Over | 69c | 860.61$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.76 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +438.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 63c | 840.16$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.84 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 62c | 320.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 52c | 307.47$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Over | 50c | 222.72$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 9c | 126.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…9406backed Under | 74c | 80.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 77.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…e0bfbacked Over | 66c | 75.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 46c | 69.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over | 18c | 67.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 45c | 67.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 60.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 49c | 47.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 53c | 35.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Over | 31c | 35.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f9…eef0backed Over | 50c | 32.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 77c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…b75cbacked Over | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c02…e977backed Under | 51c | 25.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ad…4d1bbacked Over | 50c | 24.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4674backed Over | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…a04bbacked Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 50c | 20.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…0665backed Over | 49c | 20.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f9…3f4fbacked Under | 65c | 17.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 66c | 16.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.