South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d805a06c898684d5e280fec6fb4c384f9b6699af66093fc917a174a382b86e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 1,908$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 1,753$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.35 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 26c | 1,686$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.77 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,249$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 999.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.41 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 60c | 502.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 56c | 421.46$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.46 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 73c | 412.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 42c | 384.88$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.23 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 373.08$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.77 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 74c | 305.17$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 55c | 180.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 40c | 146.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 36c | 139.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 71c | 114$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 46c | 69.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 68c | 63.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…b17fbacked Over | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 42c | 47.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…4218backed Under | 43c | 46.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Over | 53c | 30.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 75c | 28.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9284…1e52backed Over | 72c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 73c | 23.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 62c | 18.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.